mimi3

@mimi3prediction440 followersfirst pick 1 Augusually posts 8 h before start

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Tipster index58.2#153 on the leaderboardestablished sample

Hit rate

56.4%

expected 51.9%

Edge

+4.5 pp

hit rate at least 52.0% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck

Graded

353

194-150-9

ROI

+4.1%

on 349 picks with odds · max drawdown −19.41 u

Average odds

1.85

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W9, worst L6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Tennis193-150-9 · 352 graded

+4.3

56%

Baseball1-0 · 1 graded

+50.6

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap91-82-9 · 182 graded

−0.1

53%

Match result98-65 · 163 graded

+8.4

60%

Parlays3-2 · 5 graded

+27.9

60%

Totals2-1 · 3 graded

+18.1

67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-2 · 4 graded

−21.2

50%

Even188-139-9 · 336 graded

+5.1

57%

Underdog1-7 · 8 graded

−23.0

13%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.89153-99-8 · 260 graded

+7.2%

61%

1.90…2.2935-39-1 · 75 graded

−6.1%

47%

2.30…3.492-8 · 10 graded

−43.2%

20%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 3 of 3 months with 5+ picks

August 2026
+2.1 pp
114-96-3 · 54%
ROI −1.7%
September 2026
+9.9 pp
60-37-5 · 62%
ROI +15.1%
October 2026
+4.2 pp
19-16-1 · 54%
ROI +8.6%
November 2026
−4.6 pp
1-1 · 50%

By league

ATP Challenger83-59-658%+6.0
ATP 100056-51-252%+0.0
US Open39-23-163%+10.2
ATP 25010-1245%−3.9
ATP 5002-433%−14.7
MLB · USA1-0100%+50.6

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Picks

Singleposted 5 Nov, 10:00 · 20 min before start

odds 1.75Lost

ATP Challenger · Taipei, Taiwan·5 Nov, 10:20

Carl Overbeck

0:2

Kasidit Samrej

Carl Overbeck to win@1.75

Singleposted 3 Nov, 10:00 · 2 h before start

odds 1.76Void

ATP 1000 · Paris Masters·3 Nov, 11:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

void

Learner Tien

Stefanos Tsitsipas +2@1.76

Singleposted 1 Nov, 10:00 · 1 h before start

odds 1.74Won

ATP 1000 · Paris Masters: Qualification·1 Nov, 11:10

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

2:1

Miomir Kecmanovic

Juan Manuel Cerundolo to win@1.74

Singleposted 31 Oct, 18:00 · 4 h before start

odds 1.88Won

ATP Challenger · Guayaquil, Ecuador·31 Oct, 21:30

Joao Lucas Da Silva

0:2

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo to win@1.88

Singleposted 31 Oct, 11:00 · 30 min before start

odds 1.81Won

ATP 1000 · Paris Masters: Qualification·31 Oct, 11:30

James Duckworth

1:2

Miomir Kecmanovic

James Duckworth +2@1.81

Singleposted 30 Oct, 16:55 · 3 h before start

odds 1.93Won

ATP Challenger · Guayaquil, Ecuador·30 Oct, 20:20

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

2:0

Lautaro Midon

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo to win@1.93

Singleposted 29 Oct, 15:00 · 5 h before start

odds 1.91Void

ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·29 Oct, 19:45

Flavio Cobolli

void

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini to win@1.91

Singleposted 24 Oct, 10:00 · 1 h before start

odds 2.17Won

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel: Qualification·24 Oct, 11:20

Jaime Faria

0:2

Mika Brunold

Mika Brunold to win@2.17

Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:00 · 1 h before start

odds 2.51Lost

ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·23 Oct, 12:10

Clement Chidekh

0:2

Francisco Cerundolo

Clement Chidekh to win@2.51

Singleposted 21 Oct, 12:00 · 2 h before start

odds 2.03Won

ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·21 Oct, 13:40

Clement Chidekh

2:0

Jacob Fearnley

Clement Chidekh to win@2.03

Singleposted 21 Oct, 09:15 · 25 min before start

odds 2.61Lost

ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·21 Oct, 09:40

Martin Damm

0:2

Francisco Cerundolo

Martin Damm to win@2.61

Singleposted 21 Oct, 07:30 · 2 h before start

odds 1.83Won

ATP 250 · Almaty Open·21 Oct, 09:25

Facundo Acosta

0:2

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Nikoloz Basilashvili −2@1.83

Singleposted 21 Oct, 05:10 · 2 h before start

odds 1.89Won

ATP 250 · Almaty Open·21 Oct, 06:40

Mattia Bellucci

2:1

Tomas Etcheverry

Mattia Bellucci to win@1.89

Singleposted 20 Oct, 14:15 · 3 h before start

odds 1.61Won

ATP 250 · Lyon Open·20 Oct, 17:10

Luca Van Assche

2:0

Clement Tabur

Luca Van Assche to win@1.61

Singleposted 20 Oct, 10:50 · 1 h before start

odds 2.19Won

ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·20 Oct, 12:15

Botic van de Zandschulp

0:2

Clement Chidekh

Clement Chidekh to win@2.19

Singleposted 20 Oct, 07:45 · 35 min before start

odds 1.72Lost

ATP 250 · Almaty Open·20 Oct, 08:20

Stefanos Tsitsipas

2:1

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Stefanos Tsitsipas −3@1.72

Singleposted 19 Oct, 20:30 · 1 h before start

odds 1.90Won

ATP Challenger · Cali, Colombia·19 Oct, 21:35

Daniel Galan

0:2

Juan Pablo Varillas

Juan Pablo Varillas to win@1.90

Singleposted 19 Oct, 06:00 · 8 h before start

odds 2.14Lost

ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·19 Oct, 13:40

Andrea Guerrieri

0:2

Alex Michelsen

Andrea Guerrieri +4.5@2.14

Singleposted 19 Oct, 05:55 · 5 h before start

odds 1.65Won

ATP 250 · Almaty Open·19 Oct, 10:55

Marin Cilic

0:2

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Nikoloz Basilashvili to win@1.65

Singleposted 18 Oct, 11:05 · 2 h before start

odds 1.70Won

ATP Challenger · Roanne, France·18 Oct, 13:10

Matteo Martineau

1:2

Mika Brunold

Mika Brunold to win@1.70

Singleposted 17 Oct, 09:53 · 1 h before start

odds 1.80Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·17 Oct, 11:10

Rafael Jodar

2:0

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev −2@1.80

Singleposted 17 Oct, 07:53 · 7 min before start

odds 2.72Lost

ATP 250 · Almaty Open: Qualification·17 Oct, 08:00

Taro Daniel

0:2

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Taro Daniel to win@2.72

Singleposted 16 Oct, 10:03 · 7 min before start

odds 1.80Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·16 Oct, 10:10

Daniil Medvedev

2:1

Tommy Paul

Daniil Medvedev −2.5@1.80

Singleposted 16 Oct, 03:53 · 12 min before start

odds 1.77Lost

ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·16 Oct, 04:05

Shintaro Mochizuki

2:1

Yosuke Watanuki

Yosuke Watanuki to win@1.77

Singleposted 15 Oct, 14:04 · 9 h before start

odds 1.67Lost

ATP Challenger · Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia·15 Oct, 23:30

Nicolas Kicker

2:0

Facundo Mena

Facundo Mena to win@1.67

Singleposted 15 Oct, 11:13 · 27 min before start

odds 1.89Won

ATP Challenger · Maia, Portugal·15 Oct, 11:40

Francesco Passaro

2:0

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo +3@1.89

Singleposted 13 Oct, 02:39 · 2 h before start

odds 1.81Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·13 Oct, 04:10

Alex de Minaur

2:0

Karen Khachanov

Alex de Minaur to win@1.81

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:51 · 4 h before start

odds 2.35Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

2:1

Taylor Fritz

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win@2.35

Singleposted 12 Oct, 01:43 · 27 h before start

odds 1.81Lost

ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·13 Oct, 04:40

Martin Landaluce

2:0

Ilia Simakin

Ilia Simakin +2.5@1.81

Singleposted 10 Oct, 23:58 · 6 h before start

odds 1.75Push

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·11 Oct, 05:55

Alex de Minaur

2:0

Rei Sakamoto

Alex de Minaur −3@1.75