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@imMurkyy156 followersfirst pick 2 Augusually posts 4 h before start

###$$ Run The World Lock In & Get $ Wit Me ⬇️

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Tipster index60.9#99 on the leaderboarddown 49 this weekdeveloping sample

Open picks 2

Games not played yet
WTA 500 · Pan Pacific Open (Tokyo)·
Naomi Osaka
live
Mia Pohankova
Naomi Osaka to win +1
WTA 250 · Guangzhou Open·
Maria Timofeeva
live
Xinran Sun
Xinran Sun +3.5 +1@2.80
Hit rate
58.1%
expected 48.9%
Edge
+9.3 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 45.7%, the edge is within noise
Graded
43
25-18 · 2 pending
ROI
+4.3%
on 19 picks with odds · max drawdown −4.88 u
Average odds
1.91
singles with odds
Form
streak L3 · best W11, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

02462 Aug23 Aug13 Sept4 Oct25 Oct

By sport

Tennis22-16 · 38 graded
+8.9
58%
NFL & NCAAF1-1 · 2 graded
+2.8
50%
Football1-1 · 2 graded
+2.6
50%
Baseball1-0 · 1 graded
+49.1
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result16-11 · 27 graded
+7.5
59%
Parlays3-6 · 9 graded
+1.1
33%
Totals3-1 · 4 graded
+20.2
75%
Handicap3-0 · 3 graded
+35.3
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite3-0 · 3 graded
+32.5
100%
Even19-11 · 30 graded
+10.7
63%
Underdog0-1 · 1 graded
−28.9
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.899-3 · 12 graded
+30.7%
75%
1.90…2.292-4 · 6 graded
−31.0%
33%
2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +20.4 pp
    2-1 · 67%
  • September 2026
    +21.5 pp
    7-3 · 70%
    ROI +44.8%
  • October 2026
    +4.1 pp
    16-14 · 53%
    ROI −16.4%

By league

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Picks

Parlay · 2posted 29 Oct, 05:39 · 6 min before start
Pending
WTA 500 · Pan Pacific Open (Tokyo)·
Naomi Osaka
live
Mia Pohankova
Naomi Osaka to win◷
WTA 250 · Guangzhou Open·
Lilli Tagger
-:-
Magda Linette
Lilli Tagger to win◷
Open on Xexpected 46% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 29 Oct, 05:07 · 2 h before start
odds 2.80Pending
WTA 250 · Guangzhou Open·
Maria Timofeeva
live
Xinran Sun
Xinran Sun +3.5◷
WTA 250 · Guangzhou Open·
Maria Timofeeva
live
Xinran Sun
Xinran Sun to win◷
Open on Xexpected 32% from odds
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:18 · 22 h before start
odds 2.00Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
24:27
Cleveland Browns
Tennessee Titans to win@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 04:09 · 3 h before start
Lost
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Leylah Fernandez
2:0
Marie Bouzkova
Marie Bouzkova to win
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 01:36 · 3 h before start
odds 2.10Lost
WTA 250 · Japan Open·
Talia Gibson
2:0
Harriet Dart
Harriet Dart to win@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 01:36 · 9 h before start
odds 1.67Won
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Marin Cilic
0:2
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Nikoloz Basilashvili to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.67 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 19 Oct, 01:36 · 6 h before start
Lost
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Sorana Cirstea
2:0
Han Shi
Han Shi to win@3.35✕
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Sorana Cirstea
2:0
Han Shi
Han Shi +4.5✕
Open on Xexpected 17% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 01:36 · 15 h before start
odds 1.63Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Lorenzo Sonego
0:2
Moise Kouame
Lorenzo Sonego to win@1.63
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 01:36 · 7 h before start
odds 1.71Won
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Daria Kasatkina
0:2
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich to win@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 04:08 · 47 min before start
odds 1.63Void
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open: Qualification·
Anhelina Kalinina
void
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich to win@1.63
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds
Singleposted 17 Oct, 05:18 · 4 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Sonay Kartal
2:0
Jelena Ostapenko
Sonay Kartal to win
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 05:18 · 3 h before start
Void
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open: Qualification·
Magdalena Frech
void
Han Shi
Han Shi to win
Open on Xexpected 61% by model
Parlay · 2posted 17 Oct, 05:18 · 3 h before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alexander Zverev
1:2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alexander Zverev to win✕
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Rafael Jodar
2:0
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev to win✕
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 03:40 · 6 h before start
Lost
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open: Qualification·
Dayana Yastremska
0:2
Kamilla Rakhimova
Dayana Yastremska to win
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 15 Oct, 16:23 · 1 h before start
odds 2.05Lost
ATP Challenger · Roanne, France·
Moise Kouame
0:2
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Moise Kouame to win@2.05
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 15 Oct, 09:22 · 32 min before start
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Jasmine Paolini
0:2
Sonay Kartal
Sonay Kartal to win
Open on Xexpected 56% by model
Parlay · 2posted 15 Oct, 04:21 · 2 h before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Gea
void
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Arthur Gea to win∅
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alexander Zverev
2:0
Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur to win✕
Open on Xexpected 41% by model
Singleposted 14 Oct, 02:12 · 5 h before start
Void
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Casper Ruud
void
Felix Auger Aliassime
Casper Ruud to win
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 14 Oct, 02:12 · 5 h before start
Void
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Casper Ruud
void
Felix Auger Aliassime
Over 22.5 games
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 14 Oct, 02:12 · 6 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Katie Volynets
1:2
Hanyu Guo
Hanyu Guo +5.5
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 14 Oct, 02:12 · 12 h before start
odds 3.30Lost
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Han Shi
0:2
Leylah Fernandez
Han Shi to win@3.30
Open on Xexpected 29% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 02:12 · 12 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Han Shi
0:2
Leylah Fernandez
Han Shi +5.5
Open on Xexpected 76% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 13:28 · 32 min before start
Lost
ATP Challenger · Maia, Portugal·
Tristan Boyer
2:0
Alejandro Moro Canas
Alejandro Moro Canas to win
Open on Xexpected 58% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 03:41 · 8 h before start
odds 1.74Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Qinwen Zheng
2:0
Mirra Andreeva
Qinwen Zheng to win@1.74
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds+0.74 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 03:41 · 9 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2:1
Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe to win@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 03:41 · 28 min before start
odds 1.76Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Ben Shelton
0:2
Arthur Gea
Ben Shelton to win@1.76
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 23:04 · 25 min before start
odds 2.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
17:20
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia Bulldogs to win
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line+1.05 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 03:03 · 8 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Qinwen Zheng
2:0
Elise Mertens
Qinwen Zheng to win
Open on Xexpected 50% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 03:03 · 8 h before start
Lost
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Qinwen Zheng
2:0
Elise Mertens
Over 22 games
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 04:31 · 2 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Qinwen Zheng
2:0
Elina Svitolina
Qinwen Zheng to win
Open on Xexpected 43% by model