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Paweł Mikulski

@mikeee868338 followersfirst pick 27 Augusually posts 6 h before start

🧠 Smart betting. Zero hype’u. 🎯Serwisy: https://t.co/3XEdYrf081 https://t.co/Vn9kF8n20L 🔝Youtube https://t.co/ZDjM1mrU7T

FootballBasketballTennis
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Tipster index49.8needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
44.4%
expected 45.0%
Edge
−0.5 pp
over expectation
Graded
9
4-5
ROI
-
on 3 picks with odds
Average odds
2.28
singles with odds
Form
streak W4 · best W4, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-3-2-1026 Aug11 Sept26 Sept12 Oct27 Oct

By sport

Football2-4 · 6 graded
−6.5
33%
Basketball1-1 · 2 graded
−2.6
50%
Tennis1-0 · 1 graded
+39.7
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-2 · 3 graded
−3.8
33%
Handicap1-1 · 2 graded
−2.6
50%
Both teams to score1-1 · 2 graded
−8.4
50%
Parlays1-1 · 2 graded
+14.5
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded
+39.7
100%
Even2-2 · 4 graded
−5.5
50%
Underdog0-2 · 2 graded
−25.6
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.892-0 · 2 graded
-
100%
2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • August 2026
    −47.0 pp
    0-4 · 0%
  • September 2026
    +34.1 pp
    3-1 · 75%
  • October 2026
    +47.1 pp
    1-0 · 100%

By league

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Paweł Mikulski (@mikeee868) on BetBuddyRank
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Picks

Singleposted 27 Oct, 09:11 · 3 h before start
odds 1.80Won
China · CBA·
Xinjiang Flying Tigers
75:81
Zhejiang Golden Bulls
Xinjiang Flying Tigers +8.5@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.80 u
Singleposted 17 Sept, 12:13 · 2 days before start
Won
Argentina · Liga Profesional: Clausura·
Gimnasia LP
2:2
Banfield
Both teams to score: yes
Open on Xexpected 57% by model
Singleposted 16 Sept, 17:45 · 18 h before start
odds 1.58Won
ATP Challenger · Biella, Italy·
Alex Barrena
2:0
Samuele Pieri
Alex Barrena to win@1.58
Open on Xexpected 60% from odds+0.58 u
Singleposted 16 Sept, 17:45 · 5 h before start
odds 1.34Void
WTA 500 · Guadalajara Open Akron·
Marta Kostyuk
void
Taylor Townsend
Marta Kostyuk to win@1.34
Open on Xexpected 71% from odds
Parlay · 2posted 14 Sept, 18:35 · 24 h before start
Won
Premiership·
Larne
2:0
Cliftonville
Larne to win✓
Cymru Premier · JD Cymru Premier·
Penybont
3:2
Briton Ferry
Penybont to win✓
Open on Xexpected 23% by model
Singleposted 2 Sept, 08:43 · 6 h before start
Lost
Slovakia · Slovak Cup·
Lok. Kosice
3:0
Slavia Tu Kosice
Draw
Open on Xexpected 24% by model
Singleposted 29 Aug, 18:29 · 31 min before start
odds 3.45Lost
Eredivisie·
PEC Zwolle
1:3
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle to win@3.45
Open on Xexpected 28% from odds−1.00 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 29 Aug, 18:29 · 31 min before start
Lost
Eredivisie·
PEC Zwolle
1:3
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle draw no bet✕
Eredivisie·
PEC Zwolle
1:3
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle or draw✕
Open on Xexpected 48% by model
Singleposted 29 Aug, 16:25 · 4 min before start
Lost
Premier League·
Tottenham Hotspur
0:2
Newcastle United
Both teams to score: yes
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 27 Aug, 12:29 · 6 h before start
Lost
World Cup · Qualification: Europe: 2nd Round: Group L·
France
92:67
Slovenia
Slovenia +23.5
Open on Xexpected 52% by model