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@kickffapp4.6K followersfirst pick 29 Augusually posts 3 h before start

Kickff → America’s🇺🇸 #1 Sports Prediction App❤ Elite⭐ Picks for → 🏈 🏀 ⚾ 🏉 ⚽ 🏏 🎾 🎱 🏐 for All Sports Available → IOS & Android📲

FootballTennisBaseballNFL & NCAAF
Tipster index58.0#116 on the leaderboarddown 24 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
48.1%
expected 39.6%
Edge
+8.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 33.3%, the edge is within noise
Graded
27
13-14
ROI
+169.3%
on 6 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.00 u
Average odds
1.58
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W5, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1012328 Aug11 Sept25 Sept8 Oct22 Oct

By sport

Football9-7 · 16 graded
+13.8
56%
Tennis2-5 · 7 graded
+0.8
29%
Baseball1-2 · 3 graded
−21.7
33%
NFL & NCAAF1-0 · 1 graded
+68.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays10-13 · 23 graded
+7.5
43%
Match result3-1 · 4 graded
+14.0
75%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-1 · 2 graded
−13.5
50%
Even2-0 · 2 graded
+41.5
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.892-1 · 3 graded
-
67%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +80.0 pp
    1-0 · 100%
  • September 2026
    +1.7 pp
    7-10 · 41%
  • October 2026
    +13.3 pp
    5-4 · 56%

By league

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Picks

Parlay · 4posted 22 Oct, 16:05 · 3 h before start
Lost
Europa League · League Stage·
AFC Bournemouth
3:0
AC Milan
Over 2.5✓
Europa League · League Stage·
Lillestroem
0:6
Real Sociedad
Over 2.5✓
Europa League · League Stage·
NK Celje
2:2
FC Salzburg
Over 2.5✓
Europa League · League Stage·
Olympiacos
1:0
Sparta Prague
Over 2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 16% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 20 Oct, 16:02 · 3 h before start
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Manchester City
5:1
AEK Athens
Manchester City to win✓
Champions League · League Stage·
Manchester City
5:1
AEK Athens
Over 3.5✓
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 18:40 · 20 h before start
Void
ATP Challenger · Fort Worth, USA·
Alastair Gray
void
Lui Maxted
Over 16 games
Open on Xexpected 95% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 17 Oct, 11:25 · 2 h before start
Lost
Bundesliga·
Union Berlin
0:0
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund to win✕
Bundesliga·
Union Berlin
0:0
Borussia Dortmund
Over 2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 14 Oct, 22:58 · 1 h before start
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Los Angeles Dodgers
2:6
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win✕
MLB · post-season·
Los Angeles Dodgers
2:6
Milwaukee Brewers
Over 7.5✓
Open on Xexpected 38% by model
Singleposted 14 Oct, 22:58 · 1 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
Los Angeles Dodgers
2:6
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line−1.00 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 4 Oct, 19:37 · 47 min before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
27:30
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
27:30
Kansas City Chiefs
Over 47.5✓
Open on Xexpected 32% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 16:37 · 3 h before start
odds 1.47DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Los Angeles Dodgers
5:3
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line+0.47 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 2 Oct, 05:23 · 7 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · China Open·
Bu Yunchaokete
1:2
Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic to win✓
ATP 500 · China Open·
Bu Yunchaokete
1:2
Novak Djokovic
Over 21.5 games✓
Open on Xexpected 22% by model
Parlay · 2posted 30 Sept, 22:04 · 10 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · China Open·
Alexander Zverev
2:0
Cameron Norrie
Alexander Zverev to win✓
ATP 500 · China Open·
Alexander Zverev
2:0
Cameron Norrie
Over 19.5 games✓
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 26 Sept, 13:36 · 5 h before start
Won
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
North Macedonia
0:3
Switzerland
Switzerland to win✓
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
North Macedonia
0:3
Switzerland
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 37% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 26 Sept, 13:34 · 2 h before start
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 4·
Iceland
1:1
Estonia
Iceland to win✕
UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 4·
Iceland
1:1
Estonia
Over 2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 45% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 25 Sept, 12:01 · 7 h before start
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·
Poland
0:0
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Poland to win✕
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·
Poland
0:0
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Over 2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 35% by model
Parlay · 4posted 19 Sept, 11:12 · 2 h before start
odds 7.10Won
Bundesliga·
Borussia M'gladbach
3:4
Mainz 05
Over 3✓
Bundesliga·
Eintracht Frankfurt
2:2
Freiburg
Over 2.5✓
Bundesliga·
Hamburger SV
2:1
FC Cologne
Over 2.5✓
Bundesliga·
Werder Bremen
3:2
Augsburg
Over 3✓
Open on Xexpected 12% from odds+6.10 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 17 Sept, 18:18 · 41 min before start
Lost
Europa League · League Stage·
Celtic
1:3
Ferencvaros
Celtic to win✕
Europa League · League Stage·
Celtic
1:3
Ferencvaros
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 33% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 17 Sept, 18:15 · 44 min before start
Won
Europa League · League Stage·
Juventus
5:0
NEC Nijmegen
Juventus to win✓
Europa League · League Stage·
Juventus
5:0
NEC Nijmegen
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 59% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 17 Sept, 18:12 · 47 min before start
Won
Europa League · League Stage·
Crystal Palace
4:0
Lech Poznan
Crystal Palace to win✓
Europa League · League Stage·
Crystal Palace
4:0
Lech Poznan
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 48% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 13 Sept, 11:31 · 5 h before start
Won
Primeira Liga·
Benfica
3:1
Gil Vicente
Benfica to win✓
Primeira Liga·
Benfica
3:1
Gil Vicente
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 12 Sept, 12:33 · 1 h before start
Lost
Premier League·
Liverpool
0:0
Fulham
Liverpool to win✕
Premier League·
Liverpool
0:0
Fulham
Over 2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 46% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 12 Sept, 12:31 · 1 h before start
Lost
Premier League·
Chelsea
2:2
Hull City
Chelsea to win✕
Premier League·
Chelsea
2:2
Hull City
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 8 Sept, 13:30 · 6 h before start
odds 1.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
Real Madrid
2:1
Inter
Real Madrid to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line+0.60 u
Singleposted 8 Sept, 13:30 · 6 h before start
odds 1.66DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
FC Porto
0:2
Manchester City
Manchester City to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line+0.66 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 5 Sept, 17:51 · 1 h before start
Lost
US Open · Men's Singles·
Karen Khachanov
3:0
Benjamin Bonzi
Benjamin Bonzi to win✕
US Open · Men's Singles·
Karen Khachanov
3:0
Benjamin Bonzi
Over 39.5 games✕
Open on Xexpected 28% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 4 Sept, 16:44 · 5 h before start
Lost
US Open · Men's Singles·
Jiri Lehecka
1:3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos Tsitsipas to win✓
US Open · Men's Singles·
Jiri Lehecka
1:3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Over 39.5 games✕
Open on Xexpected 18% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 4 Sept, 16:36 · 5 h before start
Lost
US Open · Men's Singles·
Tomas Etcheverry
3:0
Mariano Navone
Mariano Navone to win✕
US Open · Men's Singles·
Tomas Etcheverry
3:0
Mariano Navone
Over 38.5 games✕
Open on Xexpected 27% by model
Parlay · 2posted 2 Sept, 13:10 · 2 h before start
Lost
US Open · Men's Singles·
Daniel Merida Aguilar
3:1
Andrey Rublev
Andrey Rublev to win✕
US Open · Men's Singles·
Daniel Merida Aguilar
3:1
Andrey Rublev
Over 37.5 games✓
Open on Xexpected 21% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 1 Sept, 15:21 · 25 h before start
Lost
US Open · Men's Singles·
Alex Molcan
1:3
Benjamin Bonzi
Alex Molcan to win✕
US Open · Men's Singles·
Alex Molcan
1:3
Benjamin Bonzi
Over 37.5 games✕
Open on Xexpected 26% by model
Parlay · 3posted 29 Aug, 13:07 · 22 min before start
odds 4.33Won
Bundesliga·
FC Cologne
3:2
Hoffenheim
Both teams to score: yes✓
Bundesliga·
Union Berlin
3:3
Eintracht Frankfurt
Both teams to score: yes✓
Bundesliga·
RB Leipzig
3:0
Borussia M'gladbach
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 20% from odds+3.33 u