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JesusVago

@jesusVago_238 followersfirst pick 30 Sept

me gusta apostar y el dinero, todas mis apuestas las comparto totalmente gratis ⬇️⬇️

BaseballFootball
Tipster index58.0needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
100.0%
expected 56.0%
Edge
+44.0 pp
over expectation
Graded
3
3-0
ROI
-
on 2 picks with odds
Average odds
1.85
singles with odds
Form
streak W3 · best W3, worst L0

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.5129 Sept3 Oct7 Oct12 Oct

By sport

Baseball2-0 · 2 graded
+48.3
100%
Football1-0 · 1 graded
+35.4
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-0 · 2 graded
+48.3
100%
Both teams to score1-0 · 1 graded
+35.4
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded
+35.4
100%
Even2-0 · 2 graded
+48.3
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded
-
100%

Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • September 2026
    +45.3 pp
    1-0 · 100%
  • October 2026
    +43.3 pp
    2-0 · 100%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:38 · 22 min before start
odds 1.95Won
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
2:1
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers to win@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 02:15 · 45 min before start
Won
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Tigres
3:2
Toluca
Both teams to score: yes
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 30 Sept, 00:44 · 1 h before start
odds 1.74Won
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
8:0
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres to win@1.74
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds+0.74 u