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@free_plays903 followersfirst pick 21 Oct

Amatuer Sports Handicapper NFL🏈,MLB⚾️NBA🏀,NCAA🏈,NHL📞

NFL & NCAAFBasketball
Tipster index50.9needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 42.4%
Edge
+7.5 pp
over expectation
Graded
2
1-1
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W1, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.20.421 Oct22 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Basketball1-0 · 1 graded
+40.7
100%
NFL & NCAAF0-1 · 1 graded
−25.6
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap1-0 · 1 graded
+40.7
100%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−25.6
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even1-0 · 1 graded
+40.7
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

  • October 2026
    +7.5 pp
    1-1 · 50%

By league

  • NFL0-10%−25.6
  • NBA1-0100%+40.7

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Picks

Same-game combo · 2posted 22 Oct, 22:53 · 1 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
New England Patriots +3✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Under 58✓
Open on Xexpected 26% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:45 · 3 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
127:105
Golden State Warriors
LA Lakers −6
Open on Xexpected 59% by model