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Jdrizzy

@Drizzy_BetZ40 followersfirst pick 12 Octusually posts 4 h before start

🏈 NFL & CFB | 🏀 NBA | ⚾ MLB | 🏒 NHL 📊 Daily Picks, Parlays & Analysis 💰 Finding Value. Beating the Books. 📈 Follow the Journey 🤝Partner: @afterhoursbets

NFL & NCAAFBasketballBaseballHockey
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Tipster index50.7#322 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample

Open picks 4

Games not played yet
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks to win@1.93
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks −2.5@1.91
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
-:-
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves −1.5@1.93
NBA · Regular season·
Utah Jazz
-:-
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans to win@1.98
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 49.1%
Edge
+0.9 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 32.8%, the edge is within noise
Graded
20
10-10 · 4 pending
ROI
−6.0%
on 18 picks with odds · max drawdown −4.37 u
Average odds
1.98
singles with odds
Form
streak W2 · best W3, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2-1.5-1-0.5012 Oct14 Oct17 Oct20 Oct23 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF5-7 · 12 graded
−7.1
42%
Basketball3-2 · 5 graded
+11.3
60%
Baseball2-0 · 2 graded
+45.5
100%
Hockey0-1 · 1 graded
−44.1
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap7-3 · 10 graded
+19.1
70%
Match result3-7 · 10 graded
−17.3
30%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded
+39.9
100%
Even9-9 · 18 graded
+0.8
50%
Underdog0-1 · 1 graded
−36.1
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.895-2 · 7 graded
+30.5%
71%
1.90…2.294-5 · 9 graded
−13.4%
44%
2.30…3.490-2 · 2 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +0.9 pp
    10-10 · 50%
    ROI −6.0%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:00 · 4 h before start
odds 1.91Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks −2.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:00 · 5 h before start
odds 1.93Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
-:-
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves −1.5@1.93
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 17:00 · 9 h before start
odds 1.98Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Utah Jazz
-:-
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans to win@1.98
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 15:30 · 5 h before start
odds 1.93Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks to win@1.93
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds
Singleposted 22 Oct, 16:00 · 8 h before start
odds 1.95Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears −3@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:02 · 2 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NBA · Regular season·
New Orleans Pelicans
120:123
Indiana Pacers
New Orleans Pelicans +3.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 18:00 · 6 h before start
odds 2.02Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Memphis Grizzlies
123:103
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz to win@2.02
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 15:00 · 9 h before start
odds 2.02Won
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
106:131
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves to win@2.02
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds+1.02 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 21:51 · 4 h before start
odds 1.98Lost
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
104:116
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs to win@1.98
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 18:00 · 5 h before start
odds 1.86Won
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
100:106
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers +5.5@1.86
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.86 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 20:34 · 3 h before start
odds 1.66DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
7:3
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line+0.66 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:00 · 8 h before start
odds 1.89Won
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders +7.5@1.89
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.89 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 22:01 · 2 h before start
odds 1.81DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
23:13
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:32 · 28 min before start
odds 1.95Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
20:26
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts −6.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 14:56 · 2 h before start
odds 1.83Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
14:25
Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers −3@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.83 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 23:39 · 20 min before start
odds 1.89Won
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
3:7
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win@1.89
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.89 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 22:52 · 38 min before start
odds 2.00Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UCLA Bruins
17:7
Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin Badgers to win@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 21:03 · 2 h before start
odds 2.16Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Columbus Blue Jackets
1:0
New York Rangers
New York Rangers to win@2.16
Open on Xexpected 44% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 15:11 · 8 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Houston Cougars
35:32
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Oklahoma State Cowboys +4.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 15:11 · 8 h before start
odds 2.64Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Houston Cougars
35:32
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Oklahoma State Cowboys to win@2.64
Open on Xexpected 36% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 14:18 · 2 h before start
odds 1.77Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Indiana Hoosiers
15:19
Ohio State Buckeyes
Indiana Hoosiers +3.5@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 14:18 · 2 h before start
odds 2.32Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Indiana Hoosiers
15:19
Ohio State Buckeyes
Indiana Hoosiers to win@2.32
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 23:43 · 17 min before start
odds 1.88DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itVoid
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
void
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line
Singleposted 16 Oct, 22:57 · 1 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Purdue Boilermakers
26:38
Washington Huskies
Washington Huskies +3.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 14:04 · 10 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
34:37
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams −3
Open on Xexpected 44% by model