ELG

@elg_oleksandr10.2K followersfirst pick 14 Octusually posts 7 h before start

No edge no position @Polymarket researcher

FootballTennis

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Tipster index52.4needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

50.0%

expected 39.6%

Edge

+10.4 pp

over expectation

Graded

2-2

ROI

on 3 picks with odds

Average odds

3.60

singles with odds

Form

streak L2 · best W2, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football2-1 · 3 graded

+38.0

67%

Tennis0-1 · 1 graded

−72.3

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-2 · 3 graded

−6.1

33%

Totals1-0 · 1 graded

+59.8

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-1 · 1 graded

−72.3

Even1-0 · 1 graded

+59.8

100%

Underdog1-1 · 2 graded

+27.0

50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

2.30…3.492-0 · 2 graded

100%

3.50+0-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).