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tomr

@dachegrss236 followersfirst pick 2 Augusually posts 1 h before start

Decoding Tarot, Sports predictions ⚽️🏀🎾⚾️🏈🥊 * Not financial advice. BIG WIN 333 🔮

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Tipster index72.4#6 on the leaderboardup 2 this weekestablished sample

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks to win@1.85DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
Hit rate
73.2%
expected 57.3%
Edge
+16.0 pp
hit rate at least 63.9% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck
Graded
71
52-19 · 1 pending
ROI
+21.5%
on 16 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.00 u
Average odds
1.69
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W10, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-505103 Aug23 Aug12 Sept2 Oct22 Oct

By sport

Tennis37-12 · 49 graded
+17.6
76%
Football7-4 · 11 graded
+11.1
64%
Baseball3-2 · 5 graded
+1.1
60%
NFL & NCAAF4-1 · 5 graded
+19.9
80%
Basketball1-0 · 1 graded
+43.6
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result41-16 · 57 graded
+12.8
72%
Parlays7-3 · 10 graded
+24.8
70%
Handicap2-0 · 2 graded
+55.1
100%
Totals2-0 · 2 graded
+22.1
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite24-7 · 31 graded
+10.0
77%
Even18-7 · 25 graded
+18.5
72%
Underdog3-2 · 5 graded
+22.4
60%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-1 · 2 graded
-
50%
1.50…1.8911-2 · 13 graded
+39.2%
85%
2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 3 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +19.1 pp
    21-7 · 75%
    ROI +23.0%
  • September 2026
    +16.4 pp
    22-8 · 73%
    ROI +28.0%
  • October 2026
    +8.1 pp
    9-4 · 69%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:42 · 1 h before start
odds 1.85DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line
Singleposted 22 Oct, 05:09 · 1 min before start
Won
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Iva Jovic
2:0
Jasmine Paolini
Iva Jovic to win
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 20 Oct, 18:51 · 9 min before start
odds 2.55DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Champions League · League Stage·
Paris Saint-Germain
4:2
Barcelona
Barcelona to win
Open on Xexpected 38% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 08:08 · 4 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Jan-Lennard Struff
2:0
Marcos Giron
Jan-Lennard Struff to win
Open on Xexpected 66% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 07:36 · 8 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Matteo Arnaldi
0:2
Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti to win
Open on Xexpected 61% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 19:23 · 7 min before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
68:64
Atlanta Dream
Golden State Valkyries to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line+0.70 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 07:59 · 41 min before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alexander Zverev
1:2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alexander Zverev to win
Open on Xexpected 76% by model
Singleposted 14 Oct, 06:36 · 5 h before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
2:0
Zizou Bergs
Tommy Paul to win
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 13 Oct, 18:36 · 24 min before start
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Galatasaray
1:4
Barcelona
Barcelona to win✓
Champions League · League Stage·
Galatasaray
1:4
Barcelona
Over 1.5✓
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 05:55 · 7 h before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alexander Bublik
2:0
Tomas Machac
Alexander Bublik to win
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:59 · 1 min before start
odds 1.50DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
20:24
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to win
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line+0.50 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 3 Oct, 07:51 · 1 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Ugo Humbert
1:2
Jiri Lehecka
Jiri Lehecka to win✓
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Ugo Humbert
1:2
Jiri Lehecka
Over 20.5 games✓
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 1 Oct, 08:05 · 1 h before start
Lost
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1:2
Matteo Berrettini
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 1 Oct, 02:13 · 13 h before start
Lost
ATP Challenger · Columbus, USA·
Bryce Nakashima
1:2
Keegan Smith
Bryce Nakashima to win
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 29 Sept, 05:20 · 6 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·
Daniil Medvedev
2:0
Andrey Rublev
Daniil Medvedev to win
Open on Xexpected 57% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 27 Sept, 18:35 · 10 min before start
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·
Germany
0:1
Greece
Germany to win✕
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·
Germany
0:1
Greece
Over 1.5✕
Open on Xexpected 56% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 26 Sept, 17:25 · 1 h before start
Won
ATP team tournaments · Laver Cup·
Carlos Alcaraz
2:1
Taylor Fritz
Carlos Alcaraz to win✓
ATP team tournaments · Laver Cup·
Carlos Alcaraz
2:1
Taylor Fritz
Over 20.5 games✓
Open on Xexpected 34% by model
Singleposted 26 Sept, 15:32 · 18 h before start
Won
WTA 250 · Singapore Open·
Leylah Fernandez
2:0
Talia Gibson
Leylah Fernandez to win
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Singleposted 19 Sept, 19:19 · 11 min before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
41:31
SMU Mustangs
Louisville Cardinals to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line+0.64 u
Singleposted 18 Sept, 00:48 · 20 h before start
Won
ATP Challenger · Tiburon, USA·
Michael Zheng
2:0
Mitchell Krueger
Michael Zheng to win
Open on Xexpected 77% by model
Singleposted 17 Sept, 23:00 · 54 min before start
Lost
WTA 500 · Guadalajara Open Akron·
Marta Kostyuk
1:2
Liudmila Samsonova
Marta Kostyuk to win
Open on Xexpected 80% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 17 Sept, 18:24 · 5 min before start
Won
EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·
Manchester City
5:0
Norwich City
Manchester City to win✓
EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·
Manchester City
5:0
Norwich City
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Singleposted 15 Sept, 17:25 · 21 h before start
Lost
WTA · Sao Paulo Open·
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
0:2
Dominika Salkova
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro to win
Open on Xexpected 56% by model
Singleposted 14 Sept, 00:13 · 7 min before start
odds 1.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
28:20
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to win
Open on Xexpected 60% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Sept, 17:38 · 42 min before start
Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Alexander Zverev
3:1
Ben Shelton
Over 3.5 sets
Open on Xexpected 78% by model
Singleposted 13 Sept, 16:49 · 10 min before start
odds 1.50DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Cincinnati Bengals
33:27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cincinnati Bengals to win
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line+0.50 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 12 Sept, 15:00 · 4 h before start
Lost
Ligue 1·
Auxerre
1:0
Nice
Both teams to score: yes✕
Ligue 1·
Auxerre
1:0
Nice
Over 2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 30% by model
Singleposted 11 Sept, 22:55 · 50 min before start
Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Frances Tiafoe
1:3
Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton to win
Open on Xexpected 52% by model
Singleposted 10 Sept, 21:41 · 2 h before start
Won
US Open · Women's Singles·
Aryna Sabalenka
2:0
Jessica Pegula
Aryna Sabalenka to win
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 9 Sept, 17:18 · 1 h before start
Won
US Open · Women's Singles·
Mirra Andreeva
1:2
Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff to win
Open on Xexpected 65% by model