Cletus Elijah

@cletusEllijah19.2K followersfirst pick 24 Septusually posts 12 h before start

Content Creator | Frontend Dev🧑‍💻 || Community Manager ||Trailblazer @Tezos | Ambassador @maplefinance 🥞 | @1win | @siblenetworkai || Collab 📤 Y4QGS

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Tipster index59.7needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 1

Games not played yet

Italy · Lega Basket Serie A·2 Nov, 19:00

Virtus Bologna

-:-

Pallacanestro Trieste 2004

Virtus Bologna to win

Hit rate

85.7%

expected 60.0%

Edge

+25.7 pp

over expectation

Graded

6-1 · 1 pending

ROI

+45.2%

on 5 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.00 u

Average odds

2.02

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W6, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football6-1 · 7 graded

+25.7

86%

Basketball0-0 · 0 graded

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result5-1 · 6 graded

+25.9

83%

Double chance1-0 · 1 graded

+24.3

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite4-0 · 4 graded

+22.9

100%

Even1-0 · 1 graded

+60.0

100%

Underdog1-1 · 2 graded

+14.0

50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.502-0 · 2 graded

100%

2.30…3.492-1 · 3 graded

67%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).