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💥🎀BABY KENDRA🥰💦

@babykendra_1414 followersfirst pick 5 Augusually posts 10 h before start

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TennisHockeyBaseballNFL & NCAAF
Tipster index46.5#457 on the leaderboarddown 57 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
55.5%
expected 57.6%
Edge
−2.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 48.2%, the edge is within noise
Graded
128
71-57
ROI
−13.1%
on 110 picks with odds · max drawdown −20.54 u
Average odds
1.67
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W7, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-8-6-4-204 Aug22 Aug10 Sept28 Sept16 Oct

By sport

Tennis49-44 · 93 graded
−3.5
53%
Hockey13-4 · 17 graded
+11.5
76%
Baseball9-7 · 16 graded
−3.4
56%
NFL & NCAAF0-2 · 2 graded
−48.0
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result60-56 · 116 graded
−4.7
52%
Handicap10-1 · 11 graded
+23.4
91%
Both teams to score1-0 · 1 graded
+15.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite33-23 · 56 graded
−8.4
59%
Even34-27 · 61 graded
+2.3
56%
Underdog4-7 · 11 graded
+5.0
36%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5024-12 · 36 graded
−8.4%
67%
1.50…1.8933-27 · 60 graded
−6.5%
55%
1.90…2.292-7 · 9 graded
−55.0%
22%
2.30…3.491-3 · 4 graded
-
25%
3.50+0-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    −7.4 pp
    29-30 · 49%
    ROI −22.8%
  • September 2026
    −5.2 pp
    21-20 · 51%
    ROI −14.5%
  • October 2026
    +13.3 pp
    21-7 · 75%
    ROI +10.0%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 16 Oct, 20:25 · 3 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tulane Green Wave
31:17
Memphis Tigers
Memphis Tigers −6.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 13:02 · 10 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
5:4
Montreal Canadiens
Both teams to score: yes
Open on Xexpected 85% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 19:58 · 4 h before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
3:1
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.76 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 12 h before start
odds 1.35DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Detroit Red Wings
4:5
New Jersey Devils
New Jersey Devils +1.5
Open on Xexpected 71% from the closing line+0.35 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 12 h before start
odds 1.43DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Columbus Blue Jackets
3:7
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers +1.5
Open on Xexpected 67% from the closing line+0.43 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 12 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Montreal Canadiens
4:3
Buffalo Sabres
penalties
Montreal Canadiens to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line+0.64 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 12 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Carolina Hurricanes
4:2
Washington Capitals
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line+0.64 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 13 h before start
odds 1.37DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
2:3
Seattle Kraken
penalties
Seattle Kraken +1.5
Open on Xexpected 70% from the closing line+0.37 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 13 h before start
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
4:1
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 13 h before start
odds 2.10DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Ottawa Senators
2:7
St. Louis Blues
Ottawa Senators to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 13 h before start
odds 1.48DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Islanders
3:2
Vancouver Canucks
New York Islanders to win
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line+0.48 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 14 h before start
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
5:3
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 14 h before start
odds 1.35DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
5:2
Minnesota Wild
Winnipeg Jets +1.5
Open on Xexpected 71% from the closing line+0.35 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 14 h before start
odds 1.35DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
2:3
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche +1.5
Open on Xexpected 71% from the closing line+0.35 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 14 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Nashville Predators
2:5
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.74 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 15 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.57 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 15 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
2:4
Calgary Flames
Anaheim Ducks to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 16 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Los Angeles Kings
1:4
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line+0.80 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 10:29 · 17 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
San Jose Sharks
3:6
Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins +1.5
Open on Xexpected 93% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:01 · 30 h before start
odds 1.69Won
ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·
Martin Landaluce
2:0
Ilia Simakin
Martin Landaluce to win@1.69
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.69 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:01 · 9 h before start
odds 1.62Void
ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·
Stefanos Sakellaridis
void
Juncheng Shang
Stefanos Sakellaridis to win@1.62
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds
Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:01 · 5 h before start
odds 1.30Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Pablo Carreno Busta
1:2
Felix Auger Aliassime
Felix Auger Aliassime to win@1.30
Open on Xexpected 73% from odds+0.30 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:01 · 7 h before start
odds 1.58Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Stefanos Tsitsipas
2:1
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz to win@1.58
Open on Xexpected 60% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:01 · 13 h before start
odds 1.66Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
2:0
Valentin Vacherot
Tommy Paul to win@1.66
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.66 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:01 · 4 h before start
odds 1.55Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Anhelina Kalinina
0:2
Sonay Kartal
Sonay Kartal to win@1.55
Open on Xexpected 62% from odds+0.55 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:01 · 5 h before start
odds 1.33Void
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Janice Tjen
void
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Janice Tjen to win@1.33
Open on Xexpected 71% from odds
Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:01 · 7 h before start
odds 1.71Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
0:2
Magdalena Frech
Magdalena Frech to win@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:01 · 5 h before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Learner Tien
0:2
Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud to win
Open on Xexpected 59% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:01 · 7 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Jasmine Paolini
2:0
Sara Bejlek
Jasmine Paolini to win
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:01 · 6 h before start
Void
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Clara Tauson
void
Marie Bouzkova
Clara Tauson to win
Open on Xexpected 38% by model