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KLK Picks

@KLKPicks_41 followersfirst pick 5 Octusually posts 1 h before start

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TennisNFL & NCAAFBaseball
CompareRSS
Tipster index35.8#420 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
22.2%
expected 52.9%
Edge
−30.7 pp
hit rate at most 49.6% with 95% confidence: below expectation beyond noise
Graded
10
2-7-1 · 1 pending
ROI
−71.4%
on 9 picks with odds · max drawdown −6.42 u
Average odds
1.69
singles with odds
Form
streak L3 · best W1, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-3-2-105 Oct6 Oct7 Oct9 Oct10 Oct

By sport

Baseball0-3-1 · 4 graded
−55.2
0%
NFL & NCAAF2-2 · 4 graded
−7.8
50%
Tennis0-2 · 2 graded
−39.7
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result0-4 · 4 graded
−59.1
0%
Handicap2-1-1 · 4 graded
+6.0
67%
Parlays0-2 · 2 graded
−28.8
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-1 · 3 graded
+1.7
67%
Even0-4-1 · 5 graded
−55.8
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.500-1 · 1 graded
-
0%
1.50…1.891-4 · 5 graded
−68.5%
20%
1.90…2.290-0-1 · 1 graded
-
-

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −30.7 pp
    2-7-1 · 22%
    ROI −71.4%

By league

Similar tipsters

Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Parlay · 3posted 10 Oct, 03:46 · 23 min before start
odds 6.44Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Daniil Medvedev
2:1
Jan-Lennard Struff
Daniil Medvedev −1.5 sets✕
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Learner Tien
2:0
Zachary Svajda
Learner Tien −1.5 sets✓
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Jiri Lehecka
2:1
Nuno Borges
Jiri Lehecka to win✓
Open on Xexpected 13% from odds−1.00 u
Parlay · 2posted 10 Oct, 00:01 · 59 min before start
odds 2.05Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Washington Huskies −2.5✕
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Daniil Medvedev
2:1
Jan-Lennard Struff
Daniil Medvedev to win✓
Open on Xexpected 44% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 22:30 · 30 min before start
odds 1.57Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
44:20
Florida State Seminoles
Louisville Cardinals −2.5@1.57
Open on Xexpected 61% from odds+0.57 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 22:21 · 3 h before start
odds 1.65Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Washington Huskies to win@1.65
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 12:07 · 3 min before start
odds 1.44Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Cameron Norrie
1:2
Dalibor Svrcina
Cameron Norrie to win@1.44
Open on Xexpected 66% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 23:52 · 7 min before start
odds 1.80Lost
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees −1@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:11 · 3 h before start
odds 1.61Lost
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees to win@1.61
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:41 · 48 min before start
odds 2.00Push
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:3
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres −1@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+0.00 u
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:26 · 5 h before start
Void
ATP 500 · China Open·
Novak Djokovic
void
Alex de Minaur
Novak Djokovic to win
Open on Xexpected 38% by model
Singleposted 5 Oct, 22:55 · 1 h before start
odds 1.79DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
5:2
New York Yankees
New York Yankees to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 09:54 · 2 h before start
Pending
ATP 500 · China Open·
Novak Djokovic
live
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 5 Oct, 09:53 · 14 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons +7.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model