VBETS

@awvise_khan363 followersfirst pick 14 Oct

Best Sports Picks on X.

NFL & NCAAFBaseball

CompareRSS

Tipster index52.3needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Deleted picks

After posting, the author deleted 1 pick from X: 1 lost, 0 won.

Deleted picks stay in the stats: the index and hit rate include them. How we check

Hit rate

66.7%

expected 54.3%

Edge

+12.4 pp

over expectation

Graded

2-1

ROI

on 2 picks with odds

Average odds

1.73

singles with odds

Form

streak W1 · best W1, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF1-1 · 2 graded

−5.6

50%

Baseball1-0 · 1 graded

+48.4

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-1 · 2 graded

−5.6

50%

Totals1-0 · 1 graded

+48.4

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even2-1 · 3 graded

+12.4

67%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-1 · 2 graded

50%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).