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WinPulse

@WinPulseS3 followersfirst pick 11 Septusually posts 6 h before start

⚽ Футбол | 🏀 Баскетбол | 🎾 Теннис | 🏒 Хоккей | 🎮 Киберспорт 📊 Статистика • 🔮 Прогнозы • 🔥 Матчи • 💬 Обсуждения ⚽🏀🎾🏒🎮 Следим за игрой вместе!

TennisFootballHockeyNFL & NCAAF
CompareRSS
Tipster index53.8#293 on the leaderboarddown 118 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
44.4%
expected 40.5%
Edge
+4.0 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 30.0%, the edge is within noise
Graded
27
12-15
ROI
-
on 2 picks with odds
Average odds
9.50
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W6, worst L6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-101210 Sept24 Sept8 Oct21 Oct4 Nov

By sport

Tennis6-3 · 9 graded
+7.5
67%
Football1-8 · 9 graded
−2.3
11%
Hockey5-3 · 8 graded
+16.1
63%
NFL & NCAAF0-1 · 1 graded
−67.8
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Totals10-5 · 15 graded
+11.2
67%
Match result2-3 · 5 graded
−6.3
40%
Parlays0-4 · 4 graded
−3.6
0%
Correct score0-2 · 2 graded
−3.2
0%
Handicap0-1 · 1 graded
−8.1
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite6-2 · 8 graded
+2.9
75%
Even5-3 · 8 graded
+9.8
63%
Underdog1-6 · 7 graded
+3.0
14%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

3.50+0-2 · 2 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +17.1 pp
    4-3 · 57%
  • October 2026
    +3.2 pp
    7-10 · 41%
  • November 2026
    −21.9 pp
    1-2 · 33%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 4 Nov, 10:09 · 6 h before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Paris Masters·
Nuno Borges
2:0
Karen Khachanov
Over 21.5 games
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 09:54 · 4 h before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Paris Masters·
Ignacio Buse
2:0
Daniil Medvedev
Over 20.5 games
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 3 Nov, 08:42 · 1 h before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Paris Masters·
Andrey Rublev
1:2
Tomas Etcheverry
Over 20.5 games
Open on Xexpected 57% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 31 Oct, 09:12 · 3 h before start
Lost
Premier League·
Chelsea
2:0
Manchester United
Over 2.5✕
Premier League·
Chelsea
2:0
Manchester United
Correct score 3:1✕
Open on Xexpected 3% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 09:29 · 5 h before start
Won
ATP Challenger · Lisbon, Portugal·
Andrej Martin
1:2
Svyatoslav Gulin
Under 22.5 games
Open on Xexpected 63% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 07:41 · 5 h before start
Lost
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Daniil Medvedev
2:0
Sho Shimabukuro
Over 18.5 games
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 07:27 · 8 h before start
Lost
Belarus · Extraleague·
Khimik Novopolotsk
3:4
Metallurg Zhlobin
penalties
Under 4.5
Open on Xexpected 22% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 08:38 · 1 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Adrian Mannarino
2:1
Andrey Rublev
Over 20.5 games
Open on Xexpected 57% by model
Singleposted 16 Oct, 07:32 · 6 h before start
Lost
Kazakhstan · Championship·
Yertis Pavlodar
1:12
Torpedo
Under 5.5
Open on Xexpected 48% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 12:28 · 7 h before start
Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Inter
3:4
Club Brugge
Correct score 3:2
Open on Xexpected 4% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 12:27 · 7 h before start
Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Atletico Madrid
2:0
Manchester United
Correct score 4:1
Open on Xexpected 3% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 12:27 · 7 h before start
odds 8.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Champions League · League Stage·
Galatasaray
1:4
Barcelona
Galatasaray to win
Open on Xexpected 12% from the closing line−1.00 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 13 Oct, 12:26 · 4 h before start
Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Lens
0:2
Sporting CP
Over 2.5✕
Champions League · League Stage·
Lens
0:2
Sporting CP
Correct score 2:2✕
Open on Xexpected 4% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 09:21 · 27 h before start
Won
Slovakia · Slovak Cup·
Druzstevnik Velke Ludince
0:2
Lokomotiva Zvolen
Lokomotiva Zvolen to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 12 Oct, 13:07 · 6 h before start
Lost
LaLiga·
Levante
3:3
Sevilla
Both teams to score: yes✓
LaLiga·
Levante
3:3
Sevilla
Correct score 1:2✕
Open on Xexpected 4% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 12 Oct, 11:20 · 5 h before start
Lost
Serie A·
Atalanta
3:1
Venezia
Atalanta to win✓
Serie A·
Atalanta
3:1
Venezia
Correct score 2:0✕
Open on Xexpected 5% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 08:32 · 5 h before start
Won
Kazakhstan · Championship·
Torpedo
8:0
Yertis Pavlodar
Over 4.5
Open on Xexpected 82% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 07:25 · 2 h before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Francisco Cerundolo
2:0
Roman Safiullin
Under 24.5 games
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 06:58 · 33 h before start
Won
Belarus · Extraleague·
Brest
1:4
Metallurg Zhlobin
Over 4.5
Open on Xexpected 83% by model
Singleposted 6 Oct, 08:23 · 8 h before start
Won
Belarus · Extraleague·
Neman Grodno
4:1
Khimik Novopolotsk
Under 5.5
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Singleposted 29 Sept, 08:55 · 3 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·
Daniil Medvedev
2:0
Andrey Rublev
Over 21.5 games
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 29 Sept, 08:51 · 8 h before start
Won
Belarus · Extraleague·
Dinamo Molodechno
3:0
Metallurg Zhlobin
Under 4.5
Open on Xexpected 22% by model
Singleposted 17 Sept, 08:25 · 5 h before start
Won
Kazakhstan · Championship·
Torpedo
6:3
Kulager Petropavl
Torpedo to win
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 17 Sept, 08:16 · 2 days before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Minnesota Golden Gophers
41:7
Akron Zips
Akron Zips to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 13 Sept, 11:16 · 7 h before start
odds 11.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Ligue 1·
Brest
0:1
Paris Saint-Germain
Brest to win
Open on Xexpected 9% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Sept, 08:44 · 5 h before start
Won
WTA Challenger · Antalya 4·
Aurora Zantedeschi
0:2
Alevtina Ibragimova
Under 21.5 games
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 11 Sept, 07:55 · 6 h before start
Lost
Kazakhstan · Championship·
Saryarka Karaganda
2:3
Torpedo
penalties
Torpedo −3.3
Open on Xexpected 8% by model