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ValueHunter📈

@Value_Hunter915.1K followersfirst pick 10 Augusually posts 40 min before start

📈 Betting on Lines - not on Players 🎾Sharpest Value Spotter around 🎗️ Get ALL my plays sent to you for free: https://t.co/kbS4VbVnUt

Tennis
CompareRSS
Tipster index71.6#11 on the leaderboarddown 2 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
71.1%
expected 53.1%
Edge
+18.0 pp
hit rate at least 59.1% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck
Graded
45
32-13
ROI
+30.5%
on 44 picks with odds · max drawdown −3.29 u
Average odds
1.80
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W9, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

02.557.510 Aug30 Aug19 Sept9 Oct28 Oct

By sport

Tennis32-13 · 45 graded
+18.0
71%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result21-11 · 32 graded
+12.4
66%
Handicap5-0 · 5 graded
+44.6
100%
Totals2-2 · 4 graded
−2.9
50%
Parlays4-0 · 4 graded
+50.5
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite4-0 · 4 graded
+34.9
100%
Even24-13 · 37 graded
+12.7
65%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.502-0 · 2 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.8917-9 · 26 graded
+11.8%
65%
1.90…2.299-3 · 12 graded
+51.5%
75%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 3 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +12.8 pp
    9-5 · 64%
    ROI +29.8%
  • September 2026
    +14.5 pp
    11-5 · 69%
    ROI +17.5%
  • October 2026
    +26.6 pp
    12-3 · 80%
    ROI +45.1%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 28 Oct, 19:13 · 1 min before start
odds 1.78Lost
ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·
Learner Tien
0:2
Alex de Minaur
Over 22 games@1.78
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 28 Oct, 14:08 · 27 min before start
odds 2.20Won
ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·
Lorenzo Musetti
2:0
Frances Tiafoe
Lorenzo Musetti to win@2.20
Open on Xexpected 43% from odds+1.20 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 14:14 · 15 min before start
odds 1.63Won
ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·
Adrian Mannarino
2:1
Ignacio Buse
Adrian Mannarino to win@1.63
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds+0.63 u
Singleposted 26 Oct, 14:29 · 31 min before start
odds 1.95Won
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·
Holger Rune
2:1
Quentin Halys
Holger Rune to win@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 16:04 · 41 min before start
odds 1.63Lost
ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna): Qualification·
Thiago Agustin Tirante
0:2
Adrian Mannarino
Thiago Agustin Tirante to win@1.63
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 11:52 · 13 min before start
odds 1.83Won
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Arthur Fery
0:2
Borna Gojo
Borna Gojo +2.5@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.83 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 13:01 · 9 min before start
odds 1.69Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Jaime Faria
1:2
Felix Balshaw
Jaime Faria to win@1.69
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 15:55 · 1 h before start
odds 1.57Won
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp): Qualification·
Martin Damm
2:0
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Martin Damm −1.5 sets@1.57
Open on Xexpected 61% from odds+0.57 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 22:58 · 1 h before start
odds 1.80Won
ATP Challenger · Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia·
Francisco Comesana
2:1
Nick Hardt
Francisco Comesana to win@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.80 u
Parlay · 2posted 8 Oct, 03:47 · 22 min before start
odds 1.91Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Bernard Tomic
0:2
Matteo Arnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi to win✓
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Nuno Borges
2:0
Facundo Acosta
Nuno Borges to win✓
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:28 · 7 h before start
odds 1.50Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Marco Trungelliti
0:2
Rei Sakamoto
Rei Sakamoto to win@1.50
Open on Xexpected 64% from odds+0.50 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 12:30 · 39 min before start
odds 1.73Won
ATP Challenger · Mouilleron-Le-Captif, France·
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
0:2
Clement Chidekh
Clement Chidekh to win@1.73
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds+0.73 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 16:42 · 1 h before start
odds 1.75Won
ATP Challenger · Mouilleron-Le-Captif, France·
Harold Mayot
2:1
Tristan Schoolkate
Tristan Schoolkate +2.5@1.75
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.75 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 02:50 · 3 h before start
odds 2.00Won
ATP 500 · China Open·
Roman Safiullin
2:0
Flavio Cobolli
Roman Safiullin to win@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+1.00 u
Parlay · 2posted 30 Sept, 16:13 · 41 min before start
odds 1.89Won
ATP Challenger · Columbus, USA·
Braden Shick
0:2
Mees Rottgering
Mees Rottgering to win✓
ATP 500 · China Open·
Alex de Minaur
2:0
Mariano Navone
Alex de Minaur to win✓
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+0.89 u
Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:10 · 2 h before start
odds 1.40Won
ATP 500 · China Open·
Nuno Borges
0:2
Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic to win@1.40
Open on Xexpected 68% from odds+0.40 u
Singleposted 28 Sept, 05:52 · 29 h before start
odds 1.75Lost
ATP Challenger · Mouilleron-Le-Captif, France·
Filippo Romano
0:2
Harry Wendelken
Filippo Romano to win@1.75
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Parlay · 2posted 26 Sept, 18:04 · 21 min before start
odds 1.63Won
ATP team tournaments · Laver Cup·
Carlos Alcaraz
2:1
Taylor Fritz
Carlos Alcaraz to win✓
ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·
Lloyd Harris
0:2
Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert Hurkacz +1.5 sets✓
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.63 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 17:53 · 32 min before start
odds 1.73Won
ATP team tournaments · Laver Cup·
Rafael Jodar
2:0
Alexander Bublik
Rafael Jodar −1@1.73
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds+0.73 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 02:46 · 2 h before start
odds 2.10Lost
ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·
Jenson Brooksby
2:1
Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego to win@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Sept, 11:17 · 17 min before start
odds 1.80Lost
ATP Challenger · St. Tropez, France·
Moez Echargui
1:2
Daniel Masur
Moez Echargui to win@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Sept, 04:40 · 29 min before start
odds 1.71Won
ATP 250 · Chengdu Open: Qualification·
Alexandre Muller
2:1
Luka Pavlovic
Alexandre Muller to win@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u
Singleposted 15 Sept, 15:09 · 1 min before start
odds 2.10Lost
ATP Challenger · Rennes, France·
Clement Tabur
1:2
Harold Mayot
Clement Tabur to win@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 12 Sept, 19:04 · 1 h before start
odds 1.75Lost
US Open · Women's Singles·
Aryna Sabalenka
1:2
Elena Rybakina
Aryna Sabalenka to win@1.75
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Sept, 17:30 · 55 min before start
odds 2.00Won
ATP Challenger · Seville, Spain·
Henrique Rocha
0:2
Dusan Lajovic
Dusan Lajovic to win@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Sept, 22:15 · 3 h before start
odds 1.91Won
US Open · Women's Singles·
Coco Gauff
1:2
Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina to win@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 9 Sept, 15:18 · 52 min before start
odds 1.67Won
ATP Challenger · Seville, Spain·
Alexander Ritschard
0:2
Sebastian Ofner
Sebastian Ofner to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.67 u
Singleposted 9 Sept, 14:41 · 4 h before start
odds 1.95Void
ATP Challenger · Seville, Spain·
Jaume Munar
void
Gonzalo Bueno
Over 3.5 sets@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds
Singleposted 9 Sept, 14:41 · 6 h before start
odds 1.66Void
US Open · Men's Singles·
Karen Khachanov
void
Alexander Blockx
Alexander Blockx to win@1.66
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds
Singleposted 9 Sept, 14:41 · 6 h before start
odds 1.74Void
US Open · Men's Singles·
Karen Khachanov
void
Alexander Blockx
Karen Khachanov +5@1.74
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds