odds 1.61Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
2:1
Dallas Starspenalties
Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5@1.61
Hit rate
75.0%
expected 58.6%
Edge
+16.4 pp
over expectation
Graded
4
3-1
ROI
-
on 4 picks with odds
Average odds
1.64
singles with odds
Form
streak W2 · best W2, worst L1
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Baseball2-0 · 2 graded
+38.4100%
Football0-1 · 1 graded
−51.80%
Hockey1-0 · 1 graded
+40.8100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Handicap3-0 · 3 graded
+39.2100%
Match result0-1 · 1 graded
−51.80%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite2-0 · 2 graded
+38.4100%
Even1-1 · 2 graded
−5.550%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
1.50…1.893-1 · 4 graded
-75%
Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
- October 2026+16.4 pp3-1 · 75%
By league
- MLB · USA2-0100%+38.4
- NHL1-0100%+40.8
- UEFA Nations League0-10%−51.8
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Picks
Dallas Starsodds 1.56Won
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays +1.5@1.56
odds 1.84Lost
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
Scotland
1:2
SloveniaScotland to win@1.84
odds 1.53Won
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
5:2
New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays +1.5@1.53