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Open picks 1
Games not played yetWins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
- October 2026+18.4 pp3-1 · 75%
By league
- Primera Division RFEF · Spain1-150%−6.0
- LaLiga 2 · Spain1-0100%+47.1
- Serie A · Italy1-0100%+38.6
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