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Cams Big Money Picks

@Thepanthers90324 followersfirst pick 9 Sept

NFL bettor 2021 153-111 +96.09U 2022 NFL 127-140 +30.32U 2023 137-131 +96.41U 2024 128-168-88.89U #GamblingTwitter #handicapper #NFL

NFL & NCAAF
Tipster index49.1needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 53.8%
Edge
−3.8 pp
over expectation
Graded
4
2-2
ROI
-
on 3 picks with odds
Average odds
1.93
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W1, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.200.20.49 Sept19 Sept29 Sept9 Oct19 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF2-2 · 4 graded
−3.8
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-1 · 2 graded
+1.2
50%
Totals1-1 · 2 graded
−8.7
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-1 · 1 graded
−67.0
0%
Even2-1 · 3 graded
+17.3
67%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
1.90…2.291-1 · 2 graded
-
50%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • September 2026
    −8.7 pp
    1-1 · 50%
  • October 2026
    +1.2 pp
    1-1 · 50%

By league

  • NFL2-250%−3.8

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Picks

Singleposted 19 Oct, 00:05 · 15 min before start
odds 1.95Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
23:13
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to win@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:34 · 26 min before start
odds 1.95Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
27:34
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints to win@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 10 Sept, 23:57 · 38 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
7:27
San Francisco 49ers
Over 48.5
Open on Xexpected 67% by model
Singleposted 9 Sept, 23:45 · 35 min before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
13:10
New England Patriots
Under 44.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.89 u