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Table Tennis God

@TTGPICKS4.1K followersfirst pick 4 Augusually posts 5 h before start

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TennisFootballBaseball
Tipster index50.8#341 on the leaderboarddown 14 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
50.6%
expected 50.1%
Edge
+0.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 44.1%, the edge is within noise
Graded
156
79-77
ROI
−2.1%
on 112 picks with odds · max drawdown −10.40 u
Average odds
2.05
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W9, worst L8

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2.502.553 Aug24 Aug14 Sept4 Oct25 Oct

By sport

Tennis77-77 · 154 graded
−0.3
50%
Baseball1-0 · 1 graded
+55.5
100%
Football1-0 · 1 graded
+63.6
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result66-70 · 136 graded
+0.0
49%
Handicap10-5 · 15 graded
+3.8
67%
Totals3-2 · 5 graded
+2.9
60%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite9-6 · 15 graded
−10.5
60%
Even61-61 · 122 graded
−0.4
50%
Underdog9-10 · 19 graded
+14.9
47%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.8935-27 · 62 graded
+0.8%
56%
1.90…2.2918-22 · 40 graded
−7.5%
45%
2.30…3.494-3 · 7 graded
+44.3%
57%
3.50+0-3 · 3 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +15.1 pp
    8-4 · 67%
    ROI +23.4%
  • September 2026
    −0.8 pp
    21-22 · 49%
    ROI −19.3%
  • October 2026
    −0.7 pp
    50-51 · 50%
    ROI +2.1%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 25 Oct, 02:24 · 1 h before start
odds 1.97Won
WTA 500 · Pan Pacific Open (Tokyo): Qualification·
Kimberly Birrell
0:2
Daria Kasatkina
Daria Kasatkina to win@1.97
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+0.97 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 02:24 · 8 h before start
odds 2.26Won
ATP Challenger · Florence, Italy·
Michele Ribecai
1:2
Filippo Romano
Filippo Romano to win@2.26
Open on Xexpected 42% from odds+1.26 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 02:24 · 10 h before start
odds 1.89Won
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel: Qualification·
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
2:0
Daniel Altmaier
Juan Manuel Cerundolo to win@1.89
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.89 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 02:24 · 12 h before start
odds 1.72Lost
ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna): Qualification·
Adrian Mannarino
2:0
Alex Molcan
Alex Molcan to win@1.72
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 06:02 · 1 h before start
Lost
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Leylah Fernandez
2:0
Marie Bouzkova
Marie Bouzkova to win
Open on Xexpected 57% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 03:44 · 9 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel: Qualification·
Sebastian Baez
1:2
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard to win
Open on Xexpected 37% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 02:32 · 4 h before start
odds 1.72Won
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Nikoloz Basilashvili
2:0
Adrian Mannarino
Nikoloz Basilashvili to win@1.72
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds+0.72 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 02:32 · 7 h before start
odds 1.79Lost
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Iva Jovic
1:2
Diana Shnaider
Iva Jovic to win@1.79
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 02:32 · 7 h before start
odds 1.97Won
ATP Challenger · Florence, Italy·
Matthew Donald
0:2
Filippo Romano
Filippo Romano to win@1.97
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+0.97 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 02:32 · 10 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Clement Chidekh
0:2
Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco Cerundolo −2.5
Open on Xexpected 76% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 02:32 · 10 h before start
Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Corentin Moutet
1:2
Tommy Paul
Corentin Moutet to win
Open on Xexpected 23% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 02:32 · 17 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Luca Van Assche
1:2
Lorenzo Musetti
Luca Van Assche +3.5
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 05:30 · 3 h before start
Lost
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Alexandra Eala
0:2
Diana Shnaider
Alexandra Eala to win
Open on Xexpected 52% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 20:30 · 21 h before start
odds 1.89Lost
ATP Challenger · Cali, Colombia·
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
2:0
Nicolas Jarry
Nicolas Jarry to win@1.89
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 02:47 · 1 h before start
odds 1.85Won
WTA 250 · Japan Open·
Tereza Valentova
0:2
Lilli Tagger
Lilli Tagger to win@1.85
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.85 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 02:47 · 5 h before start
Lost
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Leylah Fernandez
2:1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich +3.5
Open on Xexpected 48% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 02:47 · 3 h before start
odds 1.88Won
WTA 250 · Japan Open·
Katie Boulter
2:0
Viktorija Golubic
Katie Boulter to win@1.88
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.88 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 02:47 · 4 h before start
odds 1.83Lost
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
James Duckworth
2:0
Luciano Darderi
Luciano Darderi to win@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 02:47 · 6 h before start
odds 1.83Won
ATP Challenger · Lisbon, Portugal·
Max Alcala Gurri
1:2
Elmer Moller
Elmer Moller to win@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.83 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 02:47 · 7 h before start
odds 1.96Lost
ATP Challenger · Guangzhou 2, China·
Zhizhen Zhang
0:2
Yi Zhou
Zhizhen Zhang to win@1.96
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 02:47 · 9 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Mariano Navone
0:2
Tallon Griekspoor
Tallon Griekspoor −1.5 sets
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 02:47 · 11 h before start
odds 1.78Lost
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Clement Chidekh
2:0
Jacob Fearnley
Jacob Fearnley to win@1.78
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 02:47 · 13 h before start
odds 1.93Won
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Corentin Moutet
2:0
Felix Balshaw
Corentin Moutet to win@1.93
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.93 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 01:58 · 4 h before start
odds 1.80Won
WTA 250 · Japan Open·
Maya Joint
1:2
Zeynep Sonmez
Zeynep Sonmez to win@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.80 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 01:58 · 6 h before start
odds 1.77Lost
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Cristina Bucsa
0:2
Polina Kudermetova
Cristina Bucsa to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 01:58 · 5 h before start
odds 1.79Lost
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Terence Atmane
2:0
Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata to win@1.79
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 01:58 · 8 h before start
odds 1.70Void
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Jelena Ostapenko
void
Belinda Bencic
Belinda Bencic to win@1.70
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds
Singleposted 20 Oct, 01:58 · 8 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
ATP Challenger · Florence, Italy·
Alex Marti Pujolras
2:1
Pierluigi Basile
Pierluigi Basile to win@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 01:58 · 9 h before start
odds 1.88Won
ATP Challenger · Lisbon, Portugal·
Sumit Nagal
2:0
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Sumit Nagal to win@1.88
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.88 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 01:58 · 14 h before start
odds 1.76Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Benjamin Bonzi
2:1
Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie to win@1.76
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u