Skip to content

Six Pack Coverage

@SixPackCoverage553 followersfirst pick 4 Septusually posts 3 days before start

Sports Media & Culture, Redefined Events + Experiences Based in Nashville, TN

NFL & NCAAFBaseball
Tipster index62.7#59 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
72.7%
expected 49.1%
Edge
+23.6 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 48.0%, the edge is within noise
Graded
11
8-3
ROI
+38.6%
on 8 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.00 u
Average odds
1.98
singles with odds
Form
streak W3 · best W3, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-10123 Sept14 Sept25 Sept6 Oct17 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF6-2 · 8 graded
+25.7
75%
Baseball2-1 · 3 graded
+18.1
67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result5-2 · 7 graded
+21.9
71%
Handicap3-1 · 4 graded
+26.5
75%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-0 · 2 graded
+36.4
100%
Even6-2 · 8 graded
+27.8
75%
Underdog0-1 · 1 graded
−35.4
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.892-0 · 2 graded
-
100%
1.90…2.293-1 · 4 graded
-
75%
2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +28.5 pp
    3-1 · 75%
  • October 2026
    +20.8 pp
    5-2 · 71%
    ROI +44.8%

By league

Similar tipsters

Same main sport, closest index

Badge for your site

Show your BetBuddyRank index on your site, Linktree or Telegram channel. The badge updates with the leaderboard and links to this page.

HTML
Markdown
BBCode

Picks

Singleposted 14 Oct, 21:16 · 3 days before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oklahoma Sooners
13:21
Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky Wildcats +7
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.90 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 21:16 · 3 days before start
odds 1.81DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UCLA Bruins
17:7
Wisconsin Badgers
UCLA Bruins to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line+0.81 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 21:16 · 3 days before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Indiana Hoosiers
15:19
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State Buckeyes +3
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 15:31 · 9 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
34:37
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams −3
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Singleposted 30 Sept, 16:26 · 3 days before start
odds 2.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Mississippi State Bulldogs
23:56
Alabama Crimson Tide
Mississippi State Bulldogs to win
Open on Xexpected 35% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 30 Sept, 16:26 · 3 days before start
odds 1.43DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tennessee Volunteers
24:14
Auburn Tigers
Tennessee Volunteers to win
Open on Xexpected 67% from the closing line+0.43 u
Singleposted 30 Sept, 16:26 · 3 days before start
odds 2.10DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
South Carolina Gamecocks
34:35
Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky Wildcats to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line+1.10 u
Singleposted 24 Sept, 17:52 · 43 min before start
odds 1.75DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Texas Rangers
3:1
New York Mets
Texas Rangers to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.75 u
Singleposted 13 Sept, 03:55 · 16 h before start
odds 2.10DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Arizona Diamondbacks
6:7
Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line+1.10 u
Singleposted 4 Sept, 16:02 · 31 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
LSU Tigers
51:10
Clemson Tigers
LSU Tigers −10.5
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 4 Sept, 16:02 · 2 h before start
odds 2.08DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Cleveland Guardians
7:6
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line−1.00 u