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Sheldon Alexander

@ShelAlexander1.6K followersfirst pick 21 Oct

Chief Content Officer #OnBlast Podcast Network, Host @CanHoopsDaily Pod, TV Producer @Raptors on @Sportsnet. I'm not a biter, I'm a writer for myself and others

NFL & NCAAF
Tipster index53.3needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
100.0%
expected 49.6%
Edge
+50.4 pp
over expectation
Graded
1
1-0
ROI
-
on 1 picks with odds
Average odds
1.92
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W1, worst L0

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.20.422 Oct23 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF1-0 · 1 graded
+50.4
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap1-0 · 1 graded
+50.4
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even1-0 · 1 graded
+50.4
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • October 2026
    +50.4 pp
    1-0 · 100%

By league

  • NFL1-0100%+50.4

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Picks

Singleposted 21 Oct, 21:00 · 27 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears −3
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.92 u