odds 1.33DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
20:26
Tennessee TitansIndianapolis Colts to win
Mekline Bets
Odds by @Novig | Code: MEKLINE | ‘25 WNBA +51.6u 💰 | ‘26 NFL +6.47u 💵 | DubClub 👇
NFL & NCAAF
Hit rate
30.0%
expected 57.6%
Edge
−27.7 pp
hit rate at most 55.8% with 95% confidence: below expectation beyond noise
Graded
10
3-7
ROI
−48.1%
on 10 picks with odds · max drawdown −5.83 u
Average odds
1.73
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W1, worst L4
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
NFL & NCAAF3-7 · 10 graded
−27.730%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Handicap2-5 · 7 graded
−20.529%
Match result1-2 · 3 graded
−44.333%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite1-2 · 3 graded
−44.333%
Even2-5 · 7 graded
−20.529%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
< 1.501-2 · 3 graded
-33%
1.50…1.891-1 · 2 graded
-50%
1.90…2.291-4 · 5 graded
−59.6%20%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks- October 2026−27.7 pp3-7 · 30%ROI −48.1%
By league
- NFL3-730%−27.7
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Picks
Tennessee Titansodds 1.28DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
26:19
New York JetsNew England Patriots to win
odds 1.11DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
16:18
Arizona CardinalsLos Angeles Rams to win
odds 1.96Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
13:10
Baltimore RavensBaltimore Ravens −4.5@1.96
odds 1.83Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
34:37
Buffalo BillsLos Angeles Rams −2.5@1.83
odds 1.96Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
3:26
Houston TexansTennessee Titans +7.5@1.96
odds 1.93Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Chargers
17:23
Denver BroncosLos Angeles Chargers +3.5@1.93
odds 1.89Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
16:24
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5@1.89
odds 2.02Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
36:24
Arizona CardinalsNew York Giants +2.5@2.02
odds 2.00Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
20:24
Los Angeles RamsPhiladelphia Eagles +3.5@2.00