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@Russellking164 followersfirst pick 26 Octusually posts 8 h before start

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Tipster index57.5#154 on the leaderboardnewestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet

WTA 500 · Pan Pacific Open (Tokyo)·29 Oct, 05:45

Naomi Osaka

live

Mia Pohankova

Naomi Osaka to win@1.67

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 11:00

Valentin Vacherot

-:-

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win +1@1.81

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 11:00

Valentin Vacherot

-:-

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win@1.32

DBU Pokalen·29 Oct, 12:30

Aarhus Fremad

-:-

FC Copenhagen

FC Copenhagen to win

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 13:00

Alex Michelsen

-:-

Arthur Fils

Alex Michelsen +3@1.83

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 13:00

Alex Michelsen

-:-

Arthur Fils

Arthur Fils to win@1.43

Hit rate

60.5%

expected 55.8%

Edge

+4.7 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 52.9%, the edge is within noise

Graded

114

69-45 · 34 pending

ROI

−4.5%

on 88 picks with odds · max drawdown −6.36 u

Average odds

1.80

singles with odds

Form

streak L2 · best W8, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Basketball29-22 · 51 graded

+4.5

57%

Tennis28-12 · 40 graded

+13.1

70%

Football9-6 · 15 graded

−6.8

60%

Baseball2-1 · 3 graded

+11.5

67%

Hockey1-2 · 3 graded

−19.4

33%

NFL & NCAAF0-2 · 2 graded

−45.6

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result35-22 · 57 graded

+1.0

61%

Handicap25-18 · 43 graded

+6.3

58%

Totals6-3 · 9 graded

+14.6

67%

Parlays3-1 · 4 graded

+34.8

75%

Both teams to score0-1 · 1 graded

−58.4

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite23-7 · 30 graded

+5.5

77%

Even42-34 · 76 graded

+3.3

55%

Underdog1-3 · 4 graded

−4.7

25%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5011-5 · 16 graded

−14.2%

69%

1.50…1.8925-24 · 49 graded

−11.7%

51%

1.90…2.2912-4 · 16 graded

+46.6%

75%

2.30…3.490-4 · 4 graded

3.50+0-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks

October 2026
+4.7 pp
69-45 · 61%
ROI −4.5%

By league

NBA29-2257%+4.5
ATP 50018-772%+14.3
ATP Challenger5-271%+13.0
DFB Cup · Germany5-183%+16.5
EFL Cup · England1-325%−39.4
WTA 2502-167%+9.8
MLB · USA2-167%+11.5
WTA 5000-20%−53.3
NHL1-233%−19.4
Serie A · Italy2-0100%+32.6

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Picks

Singleposted 29 Oct, 06:14 · 14 h before start

odds 2.85DKPending

Serie A·29 Oct, 19:45

Fiorentina

-:-

Atalanta

Atalanta to win

Singleposted 29 Oct, 06:14 · 38 h before start

odds 1.27DKPending

Primeira Liga·30 Oct, 20:15

Casa Pia AC

-:-

Sporting CP

Sporting CP to win

Singleposted 29 Oct, 06:14 · 12 h before start

odds 1.24DKPending

Saudi Professional League·29 Oct, 18:00

Al Nassr

-:-

Al Kholood

Al Nassr to win

Singleposted 29 Oct, 06:14 · 12 h before start

Pending

DBU Pokalen·29 Oct, 18:30

FC Midtjylland

-:-

FC Midtjylland to win

Singleposted 29 Oct, 06:14 · 6 h before start

Pending

DBU Pokalen·29 Oct, 12:30

Aarhus Fremad

-:-

FC Copenhagen

FC Copenhagen to win

Singleposted 29 Oct, 06:14 · 11 h before start

Pending

Austria · OFB Cup·29 Oct, 17:00

Austria Lustenau

-:-

Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz to win

Singleposted 29 Oct, 06:14 · 11 h before start

Pending

Premier League·29 Oct, 17:00

Pyramids FC

-:-

Wadi Degla FC

Pyramids FC to win

Parlay · 2posted 29 Oct, 06:13 · 5 h before start

odds 1.81Pending

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 11:00

Valentin Vacherot

-:-

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win◷

ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·29 Oct, 16:00

Arthur Fery

-:-

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti to win◷

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:54 · 11 h before start

odds 1.83Pending

ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·29 Oct, 16:30

Alexander Zverev

-:-

Tallon Griekspoor

Tallon Griekspoor +3.5@1.83

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:54 · 13 h before start

odds 1.91Pending

ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·29 Oct, 19:00

Flavio Cobolli

-:-

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini to win@1.91

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:36 · 8 min before start

odds 1.67Pending

WTA 500 · Pan Pacific Open (Tokyo)·29 Oct, 05:45

Naomi Osaka

live

Mia Pohankova

Naomi Osaka to win@1.67

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:36 · 7 h before start

odds 1.83Pending

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 13:00

Alex Michelsen

-:-

Arthur Fils

Alex Michelsen +3@1.83

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:36 · 10 h before start

odds 1.77Pending

ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·29 Oct, 15:30

Tommy Paul

-:-

Luciano Darderi

Tommy Paul to win@1.77

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:36 · 5 h before start

odds 1.32Pending

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 11:00

Valentin Vacherot

-:-

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win@1.32

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:36 · 7 h before start

odds 1.43Pending

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 13:00

Alex Michelsen

-:-

Arthur Fils

Arthur Fils to win@1.43

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:36 · 11 h before start

odds 1.30Pending

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 17:00

Novak Djokovic

-:-

Jan-Lennard Struff

Novak Djokovic to win@1.30

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:36 · 10 h before start

odds 1.33Pending

ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·29 Oct, 16:00

Arthur Fery

-:-

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti to win@1.33

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:36 · 9 h before start

odds 1.34Pending

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 14:30

Taylor Fritz

-:-

Denis Shapovalov

Taylor Fritz to win@1.34

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:36 · 12 h before start

odds 1.94Pending

ATP Challenger · Brest, France·29 Oct, 17:30

Hugo Gaston

-:-

Moise Kouame

Moise Kouame to win@1.94

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:34 · 9 h before start

odds 1.73Pending

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 14:30

Taylor Fritz

-:-

Denis Shapovalov

Taylor Fritz −2.5@1.73

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:34 · 9 h before start

odds 2.20Pending

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 15:00

Daniel Altmaier

-:-

Jiri Lehecka

Daniel Altmaier to win@2.20

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:34 · 13 h before start

odds 1.90Pending

ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·29 Oct, 19:00

Flavio Cobolli

-:-

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini −0.5@1.90

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:34 · 8 h before start

odds 1.90Pending

ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·29 Oct, 14:00

Nikoloz Basilashvili

-:-

Carlos Alcaraz

Over 20.5 games@1.90

Singleposted 29 Oct, 00:20 · 40 min before start

odds 1.96Won

NBA · Regular season·29 Oct, 01:00

Utah Jazz

111:117

San Antonio Spurs

Utah Jazz +11.5@1.96

Singleposted 29 Oct, 00:20 · 1 h before start

odds 1.88Won

NBA · Regular season·29 Oct, 01:30

Dallas Mavericks

120:96

Oklahoma City Thunder

Dallas Mavericks +6.5@1.88

Singleposted 28 Oct, 23:38 · 19 h before start

odds 1.83Pending

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 18:30

Ben Shelton

-:-

Jerome Kym

Over 23.5 games@1.83

Singleposted 28 Oct, 23:38 · 13 h before start

odds 1.93Pending

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 13:00

Alex Michelsen

-:-

Arthur Fils

Over 22.5 games@1.93

Singleposted 28 Oct, 23:38 · 17 h before start

odds 1.88Pending

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 17:00

Novak Djokovic

-:-

Jan-Lennard Struff

Jan-Lennard Struff +3.5@1.88

Singleposted 28 Oct, 23:38 · 15 h before start

odds 3.16Pending

ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·29 Oct, 14:30

Taylor Fritz

-:-

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov to win@3.16

Singleposted 28 Oct, 23:38 · 14 h before start

odds 1.74Pending

ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·29 Oct, 14:00

Nikoloz Basilashvili

-:-

Carlos Alcaraz

Nikoloz Basilashvili +5.5@1.74