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Rincon Gets It

@RinconGetsIt14 followersfirst pick 26 Oct

Well Hot Damn! 🔥 Sports takes with personality. Women’s sports deserve the spotlight. NFL, MLB, volleyball & more. Agree or disagree—let’s talk!

NFL & NCAAFBaseball
Tipster index49.9needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 2

Games not played yet
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Utah Utes
-:-
BYU Cougars
BYU Cougars to win@2.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
-:-
Miami Hurricanes
Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 50.6%
Edge
−0.6 pp
over expectation
Graded
2
1-1 · 2 pending
ROI
-
on 2 picks with odds
Average odds
1.92
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W1, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.200.20.426 Oct27 Oct28 Oct

By sport

Baseball1-1 · 2 graded
−0.6
50%
NFL & NCAAF0-0 · 0 graded
-
-

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-1 · 2 graded
−0.6
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-0 · 0 graded
-
-
Even1-1 · 2 graded
−0.6
50%
Underdog0-0 · 0 graded
-
-

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.890-1 · 1 graded
-
0%
1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
2.30…3.490-0 · 0 graded
-
-

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • October 2026
    −0.6 pp
    1-1 · 50%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 5 Nov, 01:43 · 3 days before start
odds 2.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Utah Utes
-:-
BYU Cougars
BYU Cougars to win
Open on Xexpected 37% from the closing line
Singleposted 5 Nov, 01:38 · 3 days before start
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
-:-
Miami Hurricanes
Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Singleposted 27 Oct, 15:43 · 8 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
4:3
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 26 Oct, 22:33 · 1 h before start
odds 2.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
1:10
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line+1.00 u