Betwithski

@RealBetwithski3 followersfirst pick 13 Sept

instagram-Betwithski discord link👉 https://t.co/KPhtp3OpIs

NFL & NCAAFTennis

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Tipster index51.3needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

50.0%

expected 44.4%

Edge

+5.6 pp

over expectation

Graded

2-2

ROI

on 4 picks with odds

Average odds

1.88

singles with odds

Form

streak L2 · best W2, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF2-1 · 3 graded

+12.7

67%

Tennis0-1 · 1 graded

−15.6

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-1 · 3 graded

+12.7

67%

Parlays0-1 · 1 graded

−15.6

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded

+28.1

100%

Even1-0 · 1 graded

+50.0

100%

Underdog0-1 · 1 graded

−40.0

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-0 · 1 graded

100%

1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded

100%

2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).