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Mile High Picks

@MileHighPick48 followersfirst pick 5 Septusually posts 10 h before start

Free props + fantasy. MLB, NFL, CFB, UFC. Real recaps. Discord below.

NFL & NCAAFHockey
CompareRSS
Tipster index36.5#730 on the leaderboarddown 51 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
28.6%
expected 45.0%
Edge
−16.4 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 15.6%, the edge is within noise
Graded
21
6-15
ROI
−45.8%
on 20 picks with odds · max drawdown −10.66 u
Average odds
2.28
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W3, worst L8

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-4-3-2-104 Sept19 Sept3 Oct18 Oct1 Nov

By sport

NFL & NCAAF4-13 · 17 graded
−20.4
24%
Hockey2-2 · 4 graded
+0.6
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap4-5 · 9 graded
−6.5
44%
Match result1-6 · 7 graded
−22.2
14%
Totals1-3 · 4 graded
−21.2
25%
Team totals0-1 · 1 graded
−45.8
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded
+11.9
100%
Even4-11 · 15 graded
−19.1
27%
Underdog1-4 · 5 graded
−14.1
20%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.294-9 · 13 graded
−35.9%
31%
2.30…3.491-5 · 6 graded
−58.3%
17%
3.50+0-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    −37.4 pp
    0-4 · 0%
  • October 2026
    −14.5 pp
    3-7 · 30%
    ROI −36.6%
  • November 2026
    −7.2 pp
    3-4 · 43%
    ROI −25.0%

By league

  • NFL4-833%−11.4
  • NCAAF0-50%−41.9
  • NHL2-250%+0.6

Similar tipsters

Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 1 Nov, 16:21 · 4 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
1:5
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild +1.5
Open on Xexpected 88% by model
Singleposted 1 Nov, 16:21 · 5 h before start
odds 2.50Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
6:3
Utah Mammoth
Philadelphia Flyers to win@2.50
Open on Xexpected 38% from odds+1.50 u
Singleposted 1 Nov, 15:39 · 6 h before start
odds 2.00Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Miami Dolphins
19:24
New England Patriots
Under 41.5@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Nov, 04:24 · 14 h before start
odds 2.08Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
30:33
Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys over 31.5@2.08
Open on Xexpected 46% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Nov, 04:24 · 14 h before start
odds 2.04Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
36:10
Baltimore Ravens
Over 54.5@2.04
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Nov, 04:24 · 14 h before start
odds 2.00Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Steelers
27:6
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers −3.5@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+1.00 u
Singleposted 31 Oct, 15:12 · 9 h before start
odds 2.63Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
3:1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus Blue Jackets to win@2.63
Open on Xexpected 36% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 31 Oct, 15:12 · 8 h before start
odds 2.70Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vancouver Canucks
2:4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Vancouver Canucks to win@2.70
Open on Xexpected 35% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 16:25 · 4 h before start
odds 2.13Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
21:35
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams −3.5@2.13
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds+1.13 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 04:09 · 9 h before start
odds 2.04Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
10:16
Pittsburgh Steelers
Over 43.5@2.04
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 04:09 · 13 h before start
odds 2.17Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
13:35
Cincinnati Bengals
Over 47.5@2.17
Open on Xexpected 44% from odds+1.17 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 04:09 · 13 h before start
odds 1.96Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Minnesota Vikings
16:10
Indianapolis Colts
Minnesota Vikings −6.5@1.96
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 04:09 · 13 h before start
odds 2.04Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
21:27
New York Giants
New York Giants +10.5@2.04
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds+1.04 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 03:33 · 37 h before start
odds 2.13Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
24:27
Cleveland Browns
Tennessee Titans to win@2.13
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 15 Oct, 14:43 · 10 h before start
odds 2.38Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
17:14
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks −3.5@2.38
Open on Xexpected 40% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 14:36 · 1 h before start
odds 2.08Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Panthers
17:21
North Carolina Tar Heels
Pittsburgh Panthers −4.5@2.08
Open on Xexpected 46% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 14:36 · 9 h before start
odds 1.96Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Cavaliers
28:25
Syracuse Orange
Virginia Cavaliers −11.5@1.96
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 26 Sept, 14:37 · 26 h before start
odds 2.78Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
12:7
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans to win@2.78
Open on Xexpected 34% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Sept, 03:25 · 17 h before start
odds 1.96Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
South Carolina Gamecocks
34:41
Mississippi State Bulldogs
South Carolina Gamecocks −3.5@1.96
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 12 Sept, 03:42 · 12 h before start
odds 2.38Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Purdue Boilermakers
36:38
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Purdue Boilermakers to win@2.38
Open on Xexpected 40% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 5 Sept, 18:58 · 32 min before start
odds 3.57Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Cincinnati Bearcats
34:15
Boston College Eagles
Boston College Eagles to win@3.57
Open on Xexpected 27% from odds−1.00 u