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LChoules

@LeeChoules103 followersfirst pick 20 Octusually posts 8 h before start

2 Autistic Children a Wife who beat Cancer and I have had 4 open heart surgeries. Don't complain and moan, there's always someone worse off!

TennisFootballBasketball
Tipster index46.8needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
37.5%
expected 45.0%
Edge
−7.5 pp
over expectation
Graded
8
3-5
ROI
−43.3%
on 8 picks with odds · max drawdown −4.13 u
Average odds
2.58
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W1, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1.5-1-0.5019 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct

By sport

Tennis2-2 · 4 graded
−2.3
50%
Football0-3 · 3 graded
−33.3
0%
Basketball1-0 · 1 graded
+49.1
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap3-4 · 7 graded
−5.5
43%
Match result0-1 · 1 graded
−21.6
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-0 · 2 graded
+27.1
100%
Even1-1 · 2 graded
+3.2
50%
Underdog0-4 · 4 graded
−30.2
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.892-0 · 2 graded
-
100%
1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded
-
0%
2.30…3.490-2 · 2 graded
-
0%
3.50+0-2 · 2 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −7.5 pp
    3-5 · 38%
    ROI −43.3%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:08 · 8 h before start
odds 4.60Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
0:2
Taylor Fritz
Pierre-Hugues Herbert −4.6@4.60
Open on Xexpected 21% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:08 · 8 h before start
odds 1.14Won
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
0:2
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz −1.14@1.14
Open on Xexpected 84% from odds+0.14 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 16:42 · 2 h before start
odds 1.87Won
EuroCup · Group B·
Maxima Roma
90:79
UR Venezia
Maxima Roma −1.87@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.87 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 06:10 · 26 h before start
odds 1.24Void
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Arthur Fils
void
Jaume Munar
Arthur Fils −1.24@1.24
Open on Xexpected 77% from odds
Singleposted 21 Oct, 06:10 · 26 h before start
odds 3.35Void
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Arthur Fils
void
Jaume Munar
Jaume Munar −3.35@3.35
Open on Xexpected 28% from odds
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:54 · 2 h before start
odds 2.42Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Paris Saint-Germain
4:2
Barcelona
Paris Saint-Germain −2.42@2.42
Open on Xexpected 39% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:54 · 2 h before start
odds 4.40Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Paris Saint-Germain
4:2
Barcelona
Draw@4.40
Open on Xexpected 22% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:54 · 2 h before start
odds 2.44Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Paris Saint-Germain
4:2
Barcelona
Barcelona −2.44@2.44
Open on Xexpected 39% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 06:28 · 8 h before start
odds 1.53Won
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Jacob Fearnley
2:0
Hugo Gaston
Jacob Fearnley −1.53@1.53
Open on Xexpected 62% from odds+0.53 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 06:28 · 8 h before start
odds 2.23Lost
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Jacob Fearnley
2:0
Hugo Gaston
Hugo Gaston −2.23@2.23
Open on Xexpected 43% from odds−1.00 u