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~™ Laurah©~ TIPS

@Laurahtips3.4K followersfirst pick 20 Septusually posts 7 h before start

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Football
Tipster index53.0needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
Belgian Pro League·
Union St.Gilloise
-:-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Union St.Gilloise over 1.5
Hit rate
75.0%
expected 67.8%
Edge
+7.2 pp
over expectation
Graded
8
6-2 · 1 pending
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W6, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.20.420 Sept30 Sept10 Oct

By sport

Football6-2 · 8 graded
+7.2
75%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Totals3-1 · 4 graded
−0.1
75%
Parlays2-1 · 3 graded
+9.3
67%
Team totals1-0 · 1 graded
+29.8
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite4-1 · 5 graded
+5.9
80%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +5.8 pp
    1-0 · 100%
  • October 2026
    +7.4 pp
    5-2 · 71%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 10 Oct, 11:41 · 2 h before start
Won
Bundesliga·
Augsburg
2:2
Bayern Munich
Over 2.5
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 11:41 · 26 h before start
Pending
Belgian Pro League·
Union St.Gilloise
-:-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Union St.Gilloise over 1.5
Open on Xexpected 82% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 11:41 · 7 h before start
Lost
LaLiga·
Real Madrid
1:0
Villarreal
Over 2.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 10 Oct, 11:41 · 7 h before start
Lost
Eredivisie·
Ajax
1:1
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax over 1.5✕
Eredivisie·
Ajax
1:1
NEC Nijmegen
Over 1.5✓
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 11:41 · 7 h before start
Won
Ligue 1·
Paris Saint-Germain
3:1
Le Mans
Over 2.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 11:41 · 5 h before start
Won
Primeira Liga·
Maritimo
1:2
FC Porto
FC Porto over 1.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 10 Oct, 11:41 · 7 h before start
Won
Serie A·
Napoli
3:0
Frosinone
Napoli over 1.5✓
Serie A·
Napoli
3:0
Frosinone
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 10 Oct, 11:41 · 5 h before start
Won
Super League·
AEK Athens
3:0
OFI Crete
AEK Athens over 1.5✓
Super League·
AEK Athens
3:0
OFI Crete
Over 1.5✓
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 20 Sept, 20:03 · 21 h before start
Won
3. Divisjon · 3. Division: Group 1·
KFUM 2
2:5
IF Ready Football
Over 0.5
Open on Xexpected 94% by model