Kevin Underwood

@Kevin3mPSU30 followersfirst pick 25 Oct

NFL & NCAAF

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Tipster index49.9needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

50.0%

expected 51.1%

Edge

−1.1 pp

over expectation

Graded

1-1

ROI

on 2 picks with odds

Average odds

1.86

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W1, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF1-1 · 2 graded

−1.1

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap1-1 · 2 graded

−1.1

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even1-1 · 2 graded

−1.1

50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-1 · 2 graded

50%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).