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JJ_Props

@JJ_Props521 followersfirst pick 25 Septusually posts 6 h before start

🥇 #1 Professional Advisor & Sports Handicapper 👑 15+ Years Of Experience 💰 89.6% 2026 Win Rate 📩 Tap In For Premium Plays 👇👇👇

NFL & NCAAFHockeyBaseball
CompareRSS
Tipster index48.9#391 on the leaderboarddown 37 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
45.5%
expected 47.5%
Edge
−2.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 24.3%, the edge is within noise
Graded
11
5-6
ROI
−34.3%
on 8 picks with odds · max drawdown −3.41 u
Average odds
1.77
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W1, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1-0.5024 Sept30 Sept5 Oct10 Oct16 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF3-3 · 6 graded
+2.6
50%
Hockey1-2 · 3 graded
−7.6
33%
Baseball1-1 · 2 graded
−7.6
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result3-4 · 7 graded
−12.3
43%
Parlays1-1 · 2 graded
+31.9
50%
Handicap0-1 · 1 graded
−49.9
0%
Totals1-0 · 1 graded
+49.3
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded
+35.4
100%
Even3-5 · 8 graded
−15.2
38%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.891-3 · 4 graded
-
25%
1.90…2.291-2 · 3 graded
-
33%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    −24.2 pp
    1-2 · 33%
  • October 2026
    +6.2 pp
    4-4 · 50%
    ROI −28.2%

By league

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Picks

Same-game combo · 2posted 15 Oct, 04:32 · 20 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
17:14
Seattle Seahawks
Denver Broncos +8.5✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
17:14
Seattle Seahawks
Under 46.5✓
Open on Xexpected 35% by model
Parlay · 10posted 13 Oct, 13:01 · 6 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Columbus Blue Jackets
3:7
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Carolina Hurricanes
4:2
Washington Capitals
Carolina Hurricanes to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
2:3
Seattle Kraken
penalties
Seattle Kraken to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Islanders
3:2
Vancouver Canucks
New York Islanders to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
2:3
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win✓
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
3:1
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays to win✓
Champions League · League Stage·
Galatasaray
1:4
Barcelona
Barcelona to win✓
Champions League · League Stage·
Arsenal
3:0
Lille
Arsenal to win✓
Champions League · League Stage·
Inter
3:4
Club Brugge
Inter to win✕
Champions League · League Stage·
Viking
3:3
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich to win✕
Open on Xexpected 1% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 19:12 · 7 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
BYU Cougars
24:10
Iowa State Cyclones
Under 47.5
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 19:11 · 6 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Washington Huskies −2.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 18:38 · 6 h before start
odds 2.11Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons to win@2.11
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds+1.11 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 14:48 · 9 h before start
odds 1.77Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 18:16 · 6 h before start
odds 1.92Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Northwestern Wildcats
34:13
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State Nittany Lions to win@1.92
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 30 Sept, 14:52 · 6 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
Houston Astros
3:7
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 30 Sept, 14:52 · 9 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
0:7
Pittsburgh Penguins
Philadelphia Flyers to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 30 Sept, 14:52 · 11 h before start
odds 1.48DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
8:4
Los Angeles Kings
Colorado Avalanche to win
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line+0.48 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 20:22 · 3 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Kansas City Royals
9:12
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line+0.67 u