ELPICKOSONFL

@ELPICKOSONFL267 followersfirst pick 11 Oct

🌶️ EL PICKOSO NFL 🌶️ 📊 Análisis y Picks de NFL. RÉCORD OFICIAL W6-2L

NFL & NCAAF

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Tipster index52.8needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

50.0%

expected 27.5%

Edge

+22.5 pp

over expectation

Graded

1-1

ROI

on 1 picks with odds

Average odds

3.85

singles with odds

Form

streak W1 · best W1, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF1-1 · 2 graded

+22.5

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result0-1 · 1 graded

−24.8

Parlays1-0 · 1 graded

+69.8

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Underdog0-1 · 1 graded

−24.8

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

3.50+0-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).