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Diamond 💎

@Diamond8ql42 followersfirst pick 20 Septusually posts 11 h before start

🔥 NEW DAY, NEW PLAYS 🔥 Sharp picks, strong insights, and the numbers behind every play. ⚾📊 Hit follow and stay tuned!

NFL & NCAAFTennisHockeyBasketballBaseballFootballCricket
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Tipster index52.0#269 on the leaderboarddown 40 this weekestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks to win@1.85DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
-:-
New York Knicks
New York Knicks +3.5
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win@1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
-:-
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers to win@1.38DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
-:-
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors to win@1.29DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Cavaliers
-:-
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers to win +7
Hit rate
58.3%
expected 57.2%
Edge
+1.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 54.6%, the edge is within noise
Graded
491
285-204-2 · 18 pending
ROI
−2.0%
on 354 picks with odds · max drawdown −16.71 u
Average odds
1.79
singles with odds
Form
streak W3 · best W8, worst L6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-202420 Sept28 Sept6 Oct15 Oct23 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF103-80-1 · 184 graded
+0.4
56%
Tennis52-41-1 · 94 graded
+0.7
56%
Hockey61-27 · 88 graded
+7.5
69%
Football30-12 · 42 graded
+7.7
71%
Basketball21-20 · 41 graded
−0.8
51%
Baseball17-24 · 41 graded
−14.2
41%
Cricket1-0 · 1 graded
+20.8
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result167-116 · 283 graded
+1.0
59%
Handicap86-70-2 · 158 graded
−2.3
55%
Totals18-12 · 30 graded
+1.9
60%
Parlays7-6 · 13 graded
+26.2
54%
Double chance5-0 · 5 graded
+22.2
100%
Team totals2-0 · 2 graded
+50.1
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite151-62 · 213 graded
+1.8
71%
Even120-119-2 · 241 graded
−0.7
50%
Underdog7-17 · 24 graded
−0.8
29%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5068-24 · 92 graded
−1.7%
74%
1.50…1.8992-63-1 · 156 graded
+0.6%
59%
1.90…2.2936-43-1 · 80 graded
−9.7%
46%
2.30…3.497-8 · 15 graded
+14.9%
47%
3.50+2-8 · 10 graded
−16.5%
20%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    −0.9 pp
    83-58-1 · 59%
    ROI −8.4%
  • October 2026
    +1.9 pp
    202-146-1 · 58%
    ROI +0.2%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:16 · 5 h before start
Lost
2. Bundesliga·
VfL Bochum
1:1
Wolfsburg
Over 2.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:16 · 7 h before start
Won
Eredivisie·
Go Ahead Eagles
3:2
Telstar
Over 2.5
Open on Xexpected 76% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:16 · 7 h before start
Won
Bundesliga·
VfB Stuttgart
2:3
Borussia M'gladbach
Over 2.5
Open on Xexpected 73% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:13 · 9 h before start
odds 1.85DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:13 · 12 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
-:-
New York Knicks
New York Knicks +3.5
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:13 · 12 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:13 · 12 h before start
odds 1.38DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
-:-
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers to win
Open on Xexpected 70% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:13 · 12 h before start
odds 1.29DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
-:-
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors to win
Open on Xexpected 74% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:13 · 13 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
-:-
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:13 · 14 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
-:-
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets +7.5
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:13 · 14 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Utah Jazz
-:-
New Orleans Pelicans
Utah Jazz to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:13 · 15 h before start
odds 2.36DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Golden State Warriors
-:-
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies to win
Open on Xexpected 41% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:13 · 15 h before start
odds 1.28DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
-:-
LA Clippers
LA Lakers to win
Open on Xexpected 75% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:13 · 15 h before start
odds 1.21DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Sacramento Kings
-:-
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers to win
Open on Xexpected 79% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:11 · 14 h before start
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Wyoming Cowboys
-:-
Air Force Falcons
Wyoming Cowboys +7.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:11 · 15 h before start
odds 1.91DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Stanford Cardinal
-:-
North Carolina State Wolfpack
Stanford Cardinal +7.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:10 · 13 h before start
odds 1.59DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
-:-
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens to win
Open on Xexpected 60% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:10 · 14 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
-:-
Tampa Bay Lightning
Colorado Avalanche to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line
Parlay · 8posted 23 Oct, 11:09 · 12 h before start
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Cavaliers
-:-
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers to win◷
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
-:-
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens to win◷
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
-:-
Tampa Bay Lightning
Colorado Avalanche to win◷
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
-:-
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
-:-
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Golden State Warriors
-:-
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors to win◷
Open on Xexpected 2% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:09 · 8 h before start
odds 1.90Won
Serie A·
Torino
3:2
Monza
Over 2.5@1.90
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.90 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 10:51 · 12 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
-:-
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers −6.5
Open on Xexpected 59% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 10:51 · 37 h before start
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Wisconsin Badgers
-:-
USC Trojans
USC Trojans −2.5
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 16:42 · 6 h before start
odds 1.70Won
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
114:106
Cleveland Cavaliers
Philadelphia 76ers to win@1.70
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.70 u
Parlay · 3posted 22 Oct, 00:26 · 11 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Raphael Collignon
0:2
Jiri Lehecka
Jiri Lehecka to win✓
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Alexander Bublik
void
Fabian Marozsan
Alexander Bublik to win∅
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Flavio Cobolli
2:0
Stan Wawrinka
Flavio Cobolli to win✓
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 00:23 · 6 h before start
odds 1.85Won
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Terence Atmane
2:1
Mattia Bellucci
Terence Atmane to win@1.85
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.85 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 00:23 · 12 h before start
odds 2.24Won
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Valentin Vacherot
1:2
Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche to win@2.24
Open on Xexpected 43% from odds+1.24 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 00:23 · 2 h before start
odds 1.94Void
WTA 250 · Japan Open·
Antonia Ruzic
void
Kayla Day
Antonia Ruzic to win@1.94
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds
Singleposted 22 Oct, 00:22 · 2 h before start
odds 1.49Won
WTA 250 · Japan Open·
Ann Li
2:0
Zeynep Sonmez
Ann Li to win@1.49
Open on Xexpected 64% from odds+0.49 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 00:22 · 9 h before start
odds 1.69Won
WTA 500 · Ningbo Open·
Alexandra Eala
0:2
Diana Shnaider
Diana Shnaider to win@1.69
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.69 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 00:22 · 11 h before start
odds 1.32Won
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Raphael Collignon
0:2
Jiri Lehecka
Jiri Lehecka to win@1.32
Open on Xexpected 72% from odds+0.32 u

Showing the latest 500 of 516