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Collin Ward

@CollinWard284 followersfirst pick 7 Oct

Over/Under

Baseball
Tipster index56.0needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers over 3.5
Hit rate
100.0%
expected 52.2%
Edge
+47.8 pp
over expectation
Graded
2
2-0 · 1 pending
ROI
-
on 2 picks with odds
Average odds
1.83
singles with odds
Form
streak W2 · best W2, worst L0

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.30.50.86 Oct9 Oct12 Oct

By sport

Baseball2-0 · 2 graded
+47.8
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Team totals1-0 · 1 graded
+47.1
100%
Totals1-0 · 1 graded
+48.4
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even2-0 · 2 graded
+47.8
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.892-0 · 2 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • October 2026
    +47.8 pp
    2-0 · 100%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 15:12 · 9 h before start
Pending
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers over 3.5
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 19:27 · 2 h before start
odds 1.80Won
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
7:4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers over 3.5@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.80 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 15:21 · 5 h before start
odds 1.85DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
3:9
Cleveland Guardians
Over 7.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.85 u