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Bunkys Bangers

@BunkysBangers2.2K followersfirst pick 15 Septusually posts 23 min before start

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NFL & NCAAFBaseballHockeyFootballBasketballTennis
Tipster index45.8#478 on the leaderboarddown 13 this weekestablished sample

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
-:-
Army Black Knights
Tulsa Golden Hurricane to win@1.74
Hit rate
52.4%
expected 55.5%
Edge
−3.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 42.2%, the edge is within noise
Graded
63
33-30 · 1 pending
ROI
−19.9%
on 40 picks with odds · max drawdown −10.86 u
Average odds
1.80
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W4, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-3-2-10114 Sept24 Sept3 Oct13 Oct23 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF15-11 · 26 graded
+0.2
58%
Baseball9-9 · 18 graded
−5.8
50%
Hockey4-6 · 10 graded
−15.0
40%
Football3-2 · 5 graded
+13.7
60%
Basketball2-1 · 3 graded
+12.8
67%
Tennis0-1 · 1 graded
−53.0
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result18-17 · 35 graded
−5.5
51%
Handicap10-2 · 12 graded
+21.4
83%
Totals1-7 · 8 graded
−36.0
13%
Parlays2-3 · 5 graded
+1.2
40%
Both teams to score2-1 · 3 graded
+7.8
67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite13-4 · 17 graded
+9.7
76%
Even18-20 · 38 graded
−7.3
47%
Underdog0-3 · 3 graded
−29.6
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.503-2 · 5 graded
−15.6%
60%
1.50…1.8914-17 · 31 graded
−23.0%
45%
1.90…2.292-1 · 3 graded
-
67%
3.50+0-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    −0.5 pp
    19-14 · 58%
    ROI −20.1%
  • October 2026
    −5.9 pp
    14-16 · 47%
    ROI −19.7%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 00:36 · 24 h before start
odds 1.74Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
-:-
Army Black Knights
Tulsa Golden Hurricane to win@1.74
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds
Singleposted 22 Oct, 23:43 · 31 min before start
odds 1.62Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears to win@1.62
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds+0.62 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 22:46 · 14 min before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
4:0
Florida Panthers
Over 6.5
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 22:46 · 14 min before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New Jersey Devils
4:1
Anaheim Ducks
Over 6.5
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 00:18 · 2 h before start
odds 1.43DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
127:105
Golden State Warriors
LA Lakers to win
Open on Xexpected 67% from the closing line+0.43 u
Parlay · 2posted 19 Oct, 23:52 · 23 min before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
San Francisco 49ers to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Pittsburgh Penguins
Utah Mammoth to win✓
Open on Xexpected 48% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 23:32 · 28 min before start
Lost
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
65:79
Atlanta Dream
Over 151.5
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 22:47 · 13 min before start
odds 1.66Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
5:2
Anaheim Ducks
New York Rangers to win@1.66
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.66 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:44 · 15 min before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
27:34
New Orleans Saints
New York Giants +8.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:44 · 15 min before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
13:10
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens +4
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Parlay · 2posted 18 Oct, 01:40 · 1 h before start
Lost
Premier League·
Nottingham Forest
0:1
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest to win✕
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oregon Ducks
17:14
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Oregon Ducks to win✓
Open on Xexpected 9% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 18:22 · 1 h before start
odds 1.71Won
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
68:64
Atlanta Dream
Golden State Valkyries to win@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 02:02 · 9 h before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Rafael Jodar
2:0
Daniil Medvedev
Over 21.5 games
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 16 Oct, 23:05 · 54 min before start
odds 1.94Void
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
void
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians to win@1.94
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds
Singleposted 16 Oct, 23:05 · 54 min before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
32:35
Appalachian State Mountaineers
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +8.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 16 Oct, 23:05 · 54 min before start
odds 1.63Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Purdue Boilermakers
26:38
Washington Huskies
Purdue Boilermakers to win@1.63
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 15 Oct, 23:53 · 7 min before start
odds 1.66DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
Los Angeles Dodgers
4:6
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 15 Oct, 22:47 · 12 min before start
odds 1.35DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Tampa Bay Lightning
4:3
Seattle Kraken
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Open on Xexpected 71% from the closing line+0.35 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 23:47 · 12 min before start
odds 1.69Won
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
3:1
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays to win@1.69
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.69 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 15:25 · 9 h before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
5:2
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 23:36 · 23 min before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Minnesota Wild
4:2
Vegas Golden Knights
Minnesota Wild to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.89 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 20:47 · 12 min before start
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
7:4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Under 7
Open on Xexpected 35% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:34 · 26 min before start
odds 1.75Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
13:23
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to win@1.75
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds+0.75 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 23:53 · 6 min before start
odds 1.81DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
2:0
Chicago White Sox
Over 7
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 01:35 · 24 min before start
odds 1.95Won
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
1:3
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:59 · 1 min before start
odds 1.71Lost
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
3:9
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox to win@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 02:32 · 14 h before start
odds 6.50DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
24:18
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans to win
Open on Xexpected 15% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 23:44 · 46 min before start
odds 1.81DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
3:2
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres +1.5
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line+0.81 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 22:48 · 1 h before start
odds 1.82Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
3:4
Boston Bruins
Winnipeg Jets to win@1.82
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 22:48 · 11 min before start
odds 1.68Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Carolina Hurricanes
2:5
Washington Capitals
Carolina Hurricanes to win@1.68
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds−1.00 u