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@BettingEdgePro508 followersfirst pick 3 Octusually posts 2 h before start

🎉 College Football Fanatic | 📊 Betting Guru | 🏈 Analyzing stats & trends | 💰 Turning insights into winnings | Follow for weekly free picks! #CFBBetting

NFL & NCAAF
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Tipster index37.9#684 on the leaderboarddown 72 this weekdeveloping sample

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
NFL · Regular Season·
Cincinnati Bengals
-:-
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans to win
Hit rate
38.3%
expected 48.2%
Edge
−9.9 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 27.6%, the edge is within noise
Graded
48
18-29-1 · 1 pending
ROI
−42.8%
on 13 picks with odds · max drawdown −5.56 u
Average odds
1.87
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W3, worst L6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-6-4-203 Oct9 Oct16 Oct22 Oct29 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF18-29-1 · 48 graded
−9.9
38%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap11-16 · 27 graded
−7.8
41%
Totals1-6-1 · 8 graded
−43.1
14%
Match result3-4 · 7 graded
−13.7
43%
Parlays3-3 · 6 graded
+24.1
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-6 · 8 graded
−39.8
25%
Even12-17-1 · 30 graded
−8.1
41%
Underdog1-3 · 4 graded
−14.1
25%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.892-5 · 7 graded
−48.3%
29%
1.90…2.292-4 · 6 graded
−36.3%
33%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −9.9 pp
    18-29-1 · 38%
    ROI −42.8%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 28 Oct, 23:00 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Cincinnati Bengals
-:-
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans to win
Open on Xexpected 29% by model
Singleposted 28 Oct, 23:00 · 1 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
New Mexico State Aggies
0:24
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Over 50.5
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 21:30 · 30 min before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington State Cougars
10:31
Boise State Broncos
Boise State Broncos −13.5
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 21:30 · 2 h before start
odds 1.81DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kentucky Wildcats
34:17
Vanderbilt Commodores
Kentucky Wildcats −9.5
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line+0.81 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 21:30 · 2 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Texas State Bobcats
20:17
Utah State Aggies
Over 60.5
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 21:30 · 2 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Wisconsin Badgers
24:7
USC Trojans
USC Trojans to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 21:30 · 4 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tulane Green Wave
19:42
UTSA Roadrunners
UTSA Roadrunners to win
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:30 · 30 min before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Illinois Fighting Illini
21:10
Oregon Ducks
Oregon Ducks −6.5
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:30 · 1 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UCLA Bruins
28:10
Michigan State Spartans
UCLA Bruins −13.5
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:30 · 1 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UCF Knights
39:31
BYU Cougars
BYU Cougars −6.5
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:30 · 1 h before start
odds 2.14DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
South Carolina Gamecocks
27:24
Tennessee Volunteers
Tennessee Volunteers to win
Open on Xexpected 45% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:30 · 1 h before start
odds 1.91DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Arizona State Sun Devils
28:17
Kansas State Wildcats
Over 51.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:30 · 2 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Ohio Bobcats
24:20
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Ohio Bobcats −9.5
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:02 · 2 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Michigan Wolverines
6:13
Indiana Hoosiers
Indiana Hoosiers −6.5
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:02 · 3 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kansas Jayhawks
25:24
Baylor Bears
Over 51.5
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:02 · 2 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Auburn Tigers
17:38
LSU Tigers
LSU Tigers −6.5
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 23:06 · 23 min before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Memphis Tigers
41:34
East Carolina Pirates
Memphis Tigers −9.5
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 01:12 · 1 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
10:21
New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos −13.5
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 01:12 · 2 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oregon Ducks
17:14
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Oregon Ducks −6.5
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 20:40 · 3 h before start
odds 1.81DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UCLA Bruins
17:7
Wisconsin Badgers
UCLA Bruins to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line+0.81 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 17 Oct, 20:40 · 3 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
BYU Cougars
28:24
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
BYU Cougars +10.5✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
BYU Cougars
28:24
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
BYU Cougars to win✓
Open on Xexpected 11% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 17 Oct, 20:40 · 3 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oklahoma Sooners
13:21
Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky Wildcats +7.5✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oklahoma Sooners
13:21
Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky Wildcats to win✓
Open on Xexpected 21% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 20:40 · 2 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Baylor Bears
6:17
TCU Horned Frogs
Baylor Bears −3
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 20:40 · 2 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Miami Hurricanes
43:35
Florida State Seminoles
Miami Hurricanes −20
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 20:40 · 1 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oregon State Beavers
48:30
Washington State Cougars
Oregon State Beavers −17
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 16:48 · 3 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Ole Miss Rebels
31:3
Missouri Tigers
Over 57.5
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 16:48 · 3 h before start
Push
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Georgia Bulldogs
24:27
Auburn Tigers
Under 51
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 14:11 · 2 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kansas State Wildcats
35:24
Kansas Jayhawks
Over 55
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 16 Oct, 19:34 · 4 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tulane Green Wave
31:17
Memphis Tigers
Memphis Tigers −6.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line−1.00 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 16 Oct, 19:34 · 4 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Purdue Boilermakers
26:38
Washington Huskies
Purdue Boilermakers to win✕
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Purdue Boilermakers
26:38
Washington Huskies
Over 50.5✓
Open on Xexpected 29% by model