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ryan πŸ””

@76_ryann130 followersfirst pick 6 Oct

tyrese maxey enthusiast

NFL & NCAAFTennisBasketball
Tipster index54.2needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
66.7%
expected 43.8%
Edge
+22.9 pp
over expectation
Graded
3
2-1
ROI
-
on 2 picks with odds
Average odds
1.80
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 Β· best W1, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.200.20.40.66 Oct8 Oct10 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF1-1 Β· 2 graded
+11.5
50%
Basketball1-0 Β· 1 graded
+45.6
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Team totals0-1 Β· 1 graded
βˆ’52.0
0%
Match result1-0 Β· 1 graded
+45.6
100%
Parlays1-0 Β· 1 graded
+75.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even1-1 Β· 2 graded
βˆ’3.2
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-1 Β· 2 graded
-
50%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • October 2026
    +22.9 pp
    2-1 Β· 67%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 15 Oct, 05:58 Β· 41 min before start
Void
ATP 1000 Β· Shanghai Rolex MastersΒ·
Arthur Gea
void
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Arthur Gea to win
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Same-game combo Β· 2posted 9 Oct, 14:37 Β· 10 h before start
Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes to winβœ“
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes +3.5βœ“
Open on Xexpected 25% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 17:03 Β· 6 h before start
odds 1.83Lost
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
FIU Golden Panthers
22:3
New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State Aggies over 19.5@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from oddsβˆ’1.00 u
Singleposted 6 Oct, 17:43 Β· 6 h before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA Β· Pre-seasonΒ·
Oklahoma City Thunder
110:116
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans to win
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line+0.76 u