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Captain IQ🌎

@2BYTECOIN11.6K followersfirst pick 11 Octusually posts 8 h before start

NO 1. SPORTS ANALYST , PROFESSIONAL CAPPER , MORE THAN 20 YEARS IN SPORTS WORLD 🏈⚾️🥎🎾🏐🏓🎳

NFL & NCAAFTennis
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Tipster index44.2#597 on the leaderboarddown 30 this weekdeveloping sample

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
-:-
Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers −3.5@1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
Hit rate
53.8%
expected 63.5%
Edge
−9.7 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 32.5%, the edge is within noise
Graded
14
7-6-1 · 1 pending
ROI
−17.4%
on 8 picks with odds · max drawdown −3.00 u
Average odds
1.47
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W4, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2-10110 Oct14 Oct18 Oct22 Oct27 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF4-4-1 · 9 graded
−9.1
50%
Tennis3-2 · 5 graded
−10.6
60%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result6-5-1 · 12 graded
−11.3
55%
Totals1-0 · 1 graded
+5.8
100%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−7.4
0%
Handicap0-0 · 0 graded
-
-

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite5-3-1 · 9 graded
−12.1
63%
Even2-2 · 4 graded
−5.3
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.503-1 · 4 graded
-
75%
1.50…1.891-2-1 · 4 graded
-
33%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −9.7 pp
    7-6-1 · 54%
    ROI −17.4%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 27 Oct, 16:56 · 2 days before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
-:-
Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers −3.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line
Singleposted 26 Oct, 06:16 · 20 h before start
Won
ATP Challenger · Seoul, South Korea·
August Holmgren
0:2
Jay Dylan Friend
Over 15.5 games
Open on Xexpected 94% by model
Singleposted 16 Oct, 08:28 · 15 h before start
odds 1.38DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tulane Green Wave
31:17
Memphis Tigers
Memphis Tigers to win
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 08:28 · 16 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Purdue Boilermakers
26:38
Washington Huskies
Purdue Boilermakers to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 07:38 · 1 h before start
Lost
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Maria Sakkari
2:1
Marta Kostyuk
Marta Kostyuk to win
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 07:38 · 3 h before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alexander Zverev
2:1
Alexander Bublik
Alexander Zverev to win
Open on Xexpected 80% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 07:38 · 20 h before start
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Marie Bouzkova
1:2
Maja Chwalinska
Maja Chwalinska to win
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 07:38 · 41 min before start
Lost
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Daria Snigur
2:0
Elise Mertens
Elise Mertens to win
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 09:24 · 4 h before start
odds 1.27DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
19:17
Philadelphia Eagles
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Open on Xexpected 75% from the closing line+0.27 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 09:24 · 8 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPush
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
27:27
New York Giants
Washington Commanders to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 09:24 · 8 h before start
odds 1.27DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
45:17
Las Vegas Raiders
New England Patriots to win
Open on Xexpected 75% from the closing line+0.27 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 09:24 · 8 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
17:12
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.74 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 09:24 · 8 h before start
odds 1.33DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
3:26
Houston Texans
Houston Texans to win
Open on Xexpected 72% from the closing line+0.33 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 09:24 · 15 h before start
odds 1.58DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore Ravens
Atlanta Falcons to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line−1.00 u
Parlay · 6posted 11 Oct, 09:24 · 4 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
3:26
Houston Texans
Houston Texans to win@1.80✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
19:17
Philadelphia Eagles
Jacksonville Jaguars to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
45:17
Las Vegas Raiders
New England Patriots to win@1.70✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
27:27
New York Giants
Washington Commanders to win↺
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
17:12
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore Ravens
Atlanta Falcons to win✕
Open on Xexpected 7% by model