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𝐓𝐡𝐚𝐭𝐠𝐢𝐫𝐥𝐝𝐢𝐝𝐢✨

@thatgirldidi729 followersfirst pick 3 Septusually posts 10 h before start

Staying Awake To Make others Money 💵 https://t.co/1OlcSJuARh

TennisNFL & NCAAFBaseballFootballHockeyBasketball
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Tipster index57.7#84 on the leaderboarddown 28 this weekestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alex de Minaur
-:-
Karen Khachanov
Alex de Minaur to win@1.83
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Gea
-:-
Jakub Mensik
Jakub Mensik to win@1.55
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Maria Sakkari
-:-
Marta Kostyuk
Marta Kostyuk to win@1.51
ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·
Tomas Machac
-:-
Alexandre Muller
Tomas Machac to win@1.40
ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·
Miomir Kecmanovic
-:-
Alexander Shevchenko
Miomir Kecmanovic to win@1.38
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alexander Zverev
-:-
Alexander Bublik
Alexander Zverev to win@1.37
Hit rate
64.1%
expected 59.9%
Edge
+4.2 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 59.8%, the edge is within noise
Graded
345
220-123-2 · 6 pending
ROI
−0.8%
on 221 picks with odds · max drawdown −8.93 u
Average odds
1.67
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W14, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

0510152 Sept12 Sept22 Sept1 Oct11 Oct

By sport

Tennis58-40 · 98 graded
−2.2
59%
NFL & NCAAF62-27-2 · 91 graded
+8.6
70%
Baseball48-30 · 78 graded
+5.6
62%
Football32-14 · 46 graded
+8.1
70%
Hockey20-9 · 29 graded
+6.9
69%
Basketball0-3 · 3 graded
−40.4
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result163-94-1 · 258 graded
+1.7
63%
Handicap53-20-1 · 74 graded
+14.1
73%
Parlays0-7 · 7 graded
−13.9
0%
Totals3-2 · 5 graded
+5.0
60%
Team totals1-0 · 1 graded
+46.5
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite126-39 · 165 graded
+5.1
76%
Even91-67-1 · 159 graded
+5.2
58%
Underdog3-10-1 · 14 graded
−9.8
23%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5062-18 · 80 graded
+2.5%
78%
1.50…1.8960-45 · 105 graded
−3.5%
57%
1.90…2.2913-9-1 · 23 graded
+20.3%
59%
2.30…3.493-6-1 · 10 graded
−16.9%
33%
3.50+0-2 · 2 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +5.9 pp
    120-62-1 · 66%
    ROI −1.6%
  • October 2026
    +2.3 pp
    100-61-1 · 62%
    ROI +0.2%

By league

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𝐓𝐡𝐚𝐭𝐠𝐢𝐫𝐥𝐝𝐢𝐝𝐢✨ (@thatgirldidi7) on BetBuddyRank
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Picks

Singleposted 13 Oct, 00:42 · 3 h before start
odds 1.83Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alex de Minaur
-:-
Karen Khachanov
Alex de Minaur to win@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds
Singleposted 13 Oct, 00:42 · 5 h before start
odds 1.55Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Gea
-:-
Jakub Mensik
Jakub Mensik to win@1.55
Open on Xexpected 62% from odds
Singleposted 13 Oct, 00:42 · 9 h before start
odds 1.37Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alexander Zverev
-:-
Alexander Bublik
Alexander Zverev to win@1.37
Open on Xexpected 69% from odds
Singleposted 13 Oct, 00:42 · 7 h before start
odds 1.40Pending
ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·
Tomas Machac
-:-
Alexandre Muller
Tomas Machac to win@1.40
Open on Xexpected 68% from odds
Singleposted 13 Oct, 00:42 · 8 h before start
odds 1.38Pending
ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·
Miomir Kecmanovic
-:-
Alexander Shevchenko
Miomir Kecmanovic to win@1.38
Open on Xexpected 69% from odds
Singleposted 13 Oct, 00:42 · 5 h before start
odds 1.51Pending
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Maria Sakkari
-:-
Marta Kostyuk
Marta Kostyuk to win@1.51
Open on Xexpected 63% from odds
Parlay · 5posted 10 Oct, 00:54 · 11 h before start
odds 6.51Lost
Premier League·
Arsenal
2:1
Leeds United
Arsenal to win@1.44✓
Premier League·
Manchester United
1:1
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester United to win@1.79✕
Ligue 1·
Paris Saint-Germain
3:1
Le Mans
Paris Saint-Germain to win@1.13✓
Ligue 1·
AS Monaco
2:2
Toulouse
AS Monaco to win@1.61✕
LaLiga·
Real Madrid
1:0
Villarreal
Real Madrid to win@1.39✓
Open on Xexpected 12% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 22:57 · 8 h before start
odds 1.62Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alejandro Tabilo
1:2
Pablo Carreno Busta
Alejandro Tabilo to win@1.62
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 22:57 · 1 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NBA · Pre-season·
Chicago Bulls
100:104
Memphis Grizzlies
Chicago Bulls −2.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 07:10 · 11 h before start
odds 1.34DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Bundesliga·
Borussia Dortmund
2:2
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund to win
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 07:10 · 11 h before start
odds 1.29DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Eredivisie·
PSV Eindhoven
2:0
SC Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven to win
Open on Xexpected 74% from the closing line+0.29 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 07:10 · 12 h before start
Won
Cymru Premier · JD Cymru Premier·
Holywell Town
1:6
TNS
TNS to win
Open on Xexpected 89% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 07:10 · 11 h before start
Lost
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
Barcelona
81:88
Zalgiris Kaunas
Barcelona to win
Open on Xexpected 48% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 07:10 · 33 h before start
odds 1.15DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Serie A·
Inter
3:0
Parma
Inter to win
Open on Xexpected 80% from the closing line+0.15 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 07:05 · 16 h before start
odds 1.48DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Detroit Red Wings
3:6
Seattle Kraken
Seattle Kraken +1.5
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line+0.48 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 07:05 · 16 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
3:1
New York Rangers
Washington Capitals to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line+0.70 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 07:05 · 16 h before start
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Columbus Blue Jackets
3:2
Pittsburgh Penguins
penalties
Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line+0.40 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 07:05 · 17 h before start
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
1:5
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks +1.5
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line+0.40 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 22:48 · 42 min before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
FIU Golden Panthers
22:3
New Mexico State Aggies
Under 46.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:37 · 27 h before start
odds 1.20DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
16:24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas Cowboys to win
Open on Xexpected 80% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:37 · 4 days before start
odds 1.27DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
19:17
Philadelphia Eagles
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Open on Xexpected 75% from the closing line+0.27 u
Parlay · 2posted 7 Oct, 21:33 · 2 h before start
Lost
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Atlanta Dream
101:98
New York Liberty
New York Liberty +10.5✓
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees to win✕
Open on Xexpected 23% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:25 · 13 h before start
Won
ATP Challenger · Braga, Portugal·
Miguel Damas
0:2
Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig to win
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:25 · 15 h before start
Won
ATP Challenger · Braga, Portugal·
Olle Wallin
0:2
Lukas Neumayer
Lukas Neumayer to win
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:25 · 16 h before start
Won
ATP Challenger · Braga, Portugal·
Oleksii Krutykh
1:2
Luka Mikrut
Luka Mikrut to win
Open on Xexpected 76% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:25 · 18 h before start
Lost
ATP Challenger · Braga, Portugal·
Zsombor Piros
1:2
Elmer Moller
Zsombor Piros to win
Open on Xexpected 76% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:25 · 20 h before start
Lost
ATP Challenger · Braga, Portugal·
Vilius Gaubas
2:1
Duje Ajdukovic
Duje Ajdukovic to win
Open on Xexpected 48% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:25 · 16 h before start
Won
ATP Challenger · Braga, Portugal·
Ryan Nijboer
0:2
Marvin Moeller
Marvin Moeller to win
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:32 · 9 h before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Jaume Munar
0:2
Jenson Brooksby
Jaume Munar to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:32 · 9 h before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:1
Ilia Simakin
Ilia Simakin to win
Open on Xexpected 76% by model