김호석

@sz58r19 followersfirst pick 20 Oct

Hockey

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Tipster index49.4needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

33.3%

expected 40.0%

Edge

−6.7 pp

over expectation

Graded

1-1

ROI

on 2 picks with odds

Average odds

2.45

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W1, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Hockey1-1 · 2 graded

−6.7

33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap1-1 · 2 graded

−6.7

33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even0-1 · 1 graded

−42.0

Underdog1-0 · 1 graded

+63.8

100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded

2.30…3.491-0 · 1 graded

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).