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@smithsbet35 followersfirst pick 4 Septusually posts 8 h before start

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TennisNFL & NCAAF
Tipster index47.2needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
60.0%
expected 69.9%
Edge
−9.9 pp
over expectation
Graded
5
3-2
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W2, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.5-0.300.34 Sept19 Sept4 Oct19 Oct

By sport

Tennis2-2 · 4 graded
−20.6
50%
NFL & NCAAF1-0 · 1 graded
+33.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-1 · 2 graded
−20.8
50%
Totals2-0 · 2 graded
+18.0
100%
Handicap0-1 · 1 graded
−43.8
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite3-1 · 4 graded
−1.4
75%
Even0-1 · 1 graded
−43.8
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

  • September 2026
    +18.0 pp
    2-0 · 100%
  • October 2026
    −28.5 pp
    1-2 · 33%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 19 Oct, 14:28 · 11 min before start
Lost
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Mikhail Kukushkin
2:0
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Stefanos Sakellaridis to win
Open on Xexpected 72% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 14:28 · 3 h before start
Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Lorenzo Sonego
0:2
Moise Kouame
Lorenzo Sonego +1.5 sets
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 14:28 · 8 h before start
Won
ATP Challenger · Fort Worth, USA·
Edward Winter
0:2
Timo Legout
Timo Legout to win
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 17 Sept, 03:58 · 8 h before start
Won
WTA Challenger · Caldas da Rainha, Portugal·
Noma Noha Akugue
1:2
Malaika Rapolu
Over 15 games
Open on Xexpected 97% by model
Singleposted 4 Sept, 09:12 · 16 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
USC Trojans
39:0
Fresno State Bulldogs
Over 27.5
Open on Xexpected 67% by model