Rosesh

@roseshpoet10.1K followersfirst pick 14 Oct

fictitious character (Not related to Rajesh Kumar or to any other from Sarabhai vs Sarabhai.) DM for collaboration and promotion

Football

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Tipster index49.3needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

0.0%

expected 11.5%

Edge

−11.5 pp

over expectation

Graded

0-1

ROI

on 1 picks with odds

Average odds

8.00

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W0, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football0-1 · 1 graded

−11.5

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result0-1 · 1 graded

−11.5

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Underdog0-1 · 1 graded

−11.5

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

3.50+0-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).