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NaN

@nosxriptfound125 followersfirst pick 27 Septusually posts 9 h before start
NFL & NCAAFBaseballBasketballHockey
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Tipster index47.1needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
44.4%
expected 50.7%
Edge
−6.2 pp
over expectation
Graded
9
4-5
ROI
−31.5%
on 6 picks with odds · max drawdown −3.00 u
Average odds
1.89
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W3, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1.5-1-0.5026 Sept3 Oct9 Oct15 Oct22 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF2-3 · 5 graded
−10.8
40%
Baseball2-0 · 2 graded
+52.5
100%
Basketball0-1 · 1 graded
−49.6
0%
Hockey0-1 · 1 graded
−57.3
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-2 · 4 graded
−2.4
50%
Handicap0-2 · 2 graded
−49.6
0%
Parlays2-0 · 2 graded
+55.0
100%
Totals0-1 · 1 graded
−57.3
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-1 · 1 graded
−62.3
0%
Even2-4 · 6 graded
−17.3
33%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-2 · 3 graded
-
33%
1.90…2.291-2 · 3 graded
-
33%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    −11.0 pp
    2-3 · 40%
  • October 2026
    −0.3 pp
    2-2 · 50%

By league

  • NFL0-30%−54.7
  • MLB · USA2-0100%+52.5
  • WHL · Canada0-10%−57.3
  • NBA0-10%−49.6

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Picks

Singleposted 22 Oct, 00:49 · 1 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
127:105
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors +6.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 03:47 · 17 h before start
odds 1.83DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
1:3
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line+0.83 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 16:12 · 8 h before start
odds 2.68Void
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
void
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays −1.5@2.68
Open on Xexpected 36% from odds
Singleposted 16 Oct, 16:12 · 8 h before start
odds 1.49Void
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
void
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians +1.5@1.49
Open on Xexpected 64% from odds
Singleposted 16 Oct, 16:12 · 9 h before start
Lost
Canada · WHL·
Swift Current Broncos
5:3
Saskatoon Blades
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 57% by model
Parlay · 3posted 11 Oct, 15:01 · 2 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Miami Dolphins
24:31
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
3:26
Houston Texans
Houston Texans to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
45:17
Las Vegas Raiders
New England Patriots to win✓
Open on Xexpected 41% by model
Singleposted 30 Sept, 02:01 · 19 h before start
odds 2.28DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Houston Astros
3:7
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox to win
Open on Xexpected 42% from the closing line+1.28 u
Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:35 · 24 min before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Steelers
30:27
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Sept, 03:06 · 14 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Steelers
30:27
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals −3.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Sept, 03:06 · 14 h before start
odds 1.83DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
19:17
Houston Texans
Houston Texans to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line−1.00 u
Parlay · 2posted 27 Sept, 03:06 · 14 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Miami Dolphins
10:24
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
31:34
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to win✓
Open on Xexpected 49% by model