LA CABRA 🐐🎾

@lacabratenis183 followersfirst pick 23 Septusually posts 13 h before start

ATP/Challenger Analyst 🎾

Tennis

CompareRSS

Tipster index61.5#70 on the leaderboardestablished sample

Hit rate

64.0%

expected 54.8%

Edge

+9.2 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 52.4%, the edge is within noise

Graded

32-18

ROI

on 3 picks with odds

Average odds

1.79

singles with odds

Form

streak L2 · best W5, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Tennis32-18 · 50 graded

+9.2

64%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result32-18 · 50 graded

+9.2

64%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite15-6 · 21 graded

+6.8

71%

Even14-11 · 25 graded

+6.9

56%

Underdog3-1 · 4 graded

+36.2

75%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.890-2 · 2 graded

1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks

September 2026
+7.0 pp
22-13 · 63%
October 2026
+14.5 pp
10-5 · 67%

By league

ATP 25020-1067%+13.3
ATP Challenger5-550%−7.9
ATP 5006-367%+12.4
ATP 10001-0100%+31.4

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Picks

Singleposted 22 Oct, 11:18 · 37 min before start

odds 1.90Lost

ATP 250 · Lyon Open·22 Oct, 11:55

Borna Gojo

0:2

Daniel Altmaier

Borna Gojo to win@1.90

Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:14 · 26 min before start

odds 1.84Lost

ATP 250 · Almaty Open·22 Oct, 06:40

Terence Atmane

2:1

Mattia Bellucci

Mattia Bellucci to win@1.84

Singleposted 21 Oct, 05:30 · 4 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·21 Oct, 09:40

Dino Prizmic

1:2

Damir Dzumhur

Damir Dzumhur to win

Singleposted 21 Oct, 05:30 · 7 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Lyon Open·21 Oct, 12:10

Stan Wawrinka

2:1

Martin Landaluce

Stan Wawrinka to win

Singleposted 21 Oct, 05:30 · 1 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Almaty Open·21 Oct, 06:40

James Duckworth

2:0

Luciano Darderi

James Duckworth to win

Singleposted 14 Oct, 20:43 · 10 h before start

Void

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·15 Oct, 06:40

Arthur Gea

void

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win

Singleposted 14 Oct, 20:43 · 13 h before start

Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·15 Oct, 10:10

Alexander Zverev

2:0

Alex de Minaur

Alexander Zverev to win

Singleposted 2 Oct, 22:40 · 4 h before start

odds 2.00Void

ATP Challenger · Jingshan, China·3 Oct, 03:05

Lloyd Harris

void

Alex Bolt

Lloyd Harris to win@2.00

Singleposted 2 Oct, 22:40 · 13 h before start

odds 1.64Lost

ATP 500 · China Open·3 Oct, 11:15

Alexander Zverev

2:0

Juncheng Shang

Juncheng Shang to win@1.64

Singleposted 1 Oct, 20:22 · 6 h before start

Won

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·2 Oct, 02:10

Jaume Munar

2:0

Jaime Faria

Jaume Munar to win

Singleposted 1 Oct, 20:22 · 7 h before start

Lost

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·2 Oct, 03:35

Valentin Vacherot

2:1

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win

Singleposted 1 Oct, 20:22 · 12 h before start

Lost

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·2 Oct, 08:00

Kyrian Jacquet

2:0

Luciano Darderi

Luciano Darderi to win

Singleposted 1 Oct, 20:22 · 13 h before start

Won

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·2 Oct, 09:50

Arthur Fils

2:0

Frances Tiafoe

Arthur Fils to win

Singleposted 1 Oct, 20:21 · 9 h before start

Won

ATP 500 · China Open·2 Oct, 05:10

Alex Molcan

0:2

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov to win

Singleposted 1 Oct, 20:21 · 11 h before start

Won

ATP 500 · China Open·2 Oct, 07:10

Daniil Medvedev

2:0

Pablo Carreno Busta

Daniil Medvedev to win

Singleposted 1 Oct, 20:21 · 15 h before start

Won

ATP 500 · China Open·2 Oct, 11:25

Hubert Hurkacz

2:1

Arthur Gea

Hubert Hurkacz to win

Singleposted 1 Oct, 20:21 · 16 h before start

Won

ATP 500 · China Open·2 Oct, 12:35

Bu Yunchaokete

1:2

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic to win

Singleposted 27 Sept, 20:02 · 14 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·28 Sept, 09:40

Kyrian Jacquet

0:2

Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev to win

Singleposted 27 Sept, 20:02 · 16 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·28 Sept, 11:40

Daniil Medvedev

2:0

Roman Safiullin

Daniil Medvedev to win

Singleposted 27 Sept, 20:02 · 13 h before start

Lost

ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·28 Sept, 09:10

Nikoloz Basilashvili

1:2

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Nikoloz Basilashvili to win

Singleposted 27 Sept, 20:02 · 15 h before start

Lost

ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·28 Sept, 11:25

Hubert Hurkacz

2:1

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov to win

Singleposted 26 Sept, 21:29 · 8 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·27 Sept, 05:05

Jenson Brooksby

0:2

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Nikoloz Basilashvili to win

Singleposted 26 Sept, 21:29 · 9 h before start

Lost

ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·27 Sept, 06:55

Alexandre Muller

0:2

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alexandre Muller to win

Singleposted 26 Sept, 21:29 · 11 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·27 Sept, 08:40

Adrian Mannarino

1:2

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov to win

Singleposted 26 Sept, 21:29 · 14 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·27 Sept, 11:35

Lloyd Harris

0:2

Hubert Hurkacz

Hubert Hurkacz to win

Singleposted 26 Sept, 21:29 · 15 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·27 Sept, 12:25

Daniil Medvedev

2:1

Chak Wong

Daniil Medvedev to win

Singleposted 26 Sept, 21:29 · 8 h before start

Lost

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·27 Sept, 05:35

Fabian Marozsan

0:2

Kyrian Jacquet

Fabian Marozsan to win

Singleposted 26 Sept, 21:29 · 10 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·27 Sept, 07:45

Hugo Gaston

1:2

Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev to win

Singleposted 25 Sept, 20:08 · 15 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·26 Sept, 11:35

Daniil Medvedev

2:0

Valentin Royer

Daniil Medvedev to win

Singleposted 25 Sept, 20:08 · 10 h before start

Won

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·26 Sept, 05:40

Quentin Halys

1:2

Roman Safiullin

Roman Safiullin to win