MisterBasquet

@infomisbasket5.4K followersfirst pick 18 Septusually posts 8 h before start

📈 Trader deportivo especializado en análisis de calidad sobre el baloncesto 🏀

FootballTennisBasketball

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Tipster index52.8needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

60.0%

expected 50.1%

Edge

+9.9 pp

over expectation

Graded

3-2

ROI

on 2 picks with odds

Average odds

2.20

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W2, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football1-2 · 3 graded

−11.7

33%

Basketball1-0 · 1 graded

+42.6

100%

Tennis1-0 · 1 graded

+41.9

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-2 · 3 graded

−14.9

33%

Handicap1-0 · 1 graded

+41.9

100%

Double chance1-0 · 1 graded

+52.0

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even3-1 · 4 graded

+22.2

75%

Underdog0-1 · 1 graded

−39.4

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded

2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).