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Coley Taylor 👨‍🍳

@coleyscashes2.7K followersfirst pick 7 Augusually posts 5 h before start

Sports Props Daily 🍻 2,700+ Discord Members 👾 NFL/NBA/UFC/TENNIS/CFB 📈 Proud Affiliate Of @SmackTok VIP ⬇️ #GamblingX

NFL & NCAAFTennisBaseballBasketball
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Tipster index51.4#292 on the leaderboardup 79 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 48.1%
Edge
+1.8 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 32.0%, the edge is within noise
Graded
18
9-9
ROI
+4.6%
on 18 picks with odds · max drawdown −4.00 u
Average odds
2.00
singles with odds
Form
streak W2 · best W5, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2-107 Aug26 Aug14 Sept3 Oct21 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF7-6 · 13 graded
+4.8
54%
Baseball0-2 · 2 graded
−50.6
0%
Tennis1-1 · 2 graded
+9.4
50%
Basketball1-0 · 1 graded
+54.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result5-5 · 10 graded
+4.2
50%
Handicap4-4 · 8 graded
−1.1
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even8-9 · 17 graded
−1.8
47%
Underdog1-0 · 1 graded
+64.7
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.893-6 · 9 graded
−39.4%
33%
1.90…2.294-3 · 7 graded
+18.9%
57%
2.30…3.492-0 · 2 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    −50.6 pp
    0-2 · 0%
  • September 2026
    +18.1 pp
    2-1 · 67%
  • October 2026
    +6.2 pp
    7-6 · 54%
    ROI +14.0%

By league

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Coley Taylor 👨‍🍳 (@coleyscashes) on BetBuddyRank
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Picks

Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:04 · 1 h before start
odds 2.07Won
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
106:131
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves to win@2.07
Open on Xexpected 46% from odds+1.07 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 05:04 · 4 h before start
odds 2.07Lost
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Sonay Kartal
2:0
Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko to win@2.07
Open on Xexpected 46% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 05:04 · 6 h before start
odds 2.70Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Rafael Jodar
2:0
Daniil Medvedev
Rafael Jodar to win@2.70
Open on Xexpected 35% from odds+1.70 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 21:17 · 4 h before start
odds 1.89Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
San Jose State Spartans
13:16
Wyoming Cowboys
San Jose State Spartans −3.5@1.89
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 21:17 · 5 h before start
odds 1.82Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
BYU Cougars
24:10
Iowa State Cyclones
Iowa State Cyclones +13.5@1.82
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 21:17 · 4 h before start
odds 1.75Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes +3.5@1.75
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.75 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 21:17 · 4 h before start
odds 2.35Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes to win@2.35
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds+1.35 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 22:50 · 25 h before start
odds 1.94Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
16:24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas Cowboys −7.5@1.94
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 14:43 · 6 h before start
odds 1.73Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Illinois Fighting Illini
17:24
Purdue Boilermakers
Illinois Fighting Illini to win@1.73
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 14:43 · 5 h before start
odds 1.87Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tennessee Volunteers
24:14
Auburn Tigers
Tennessee Volunteers −6.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.87 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 14:43 · 5 h before start
odds 2.10Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UNLV Rebels
39:31
California Golden Bears
California Golden Bears to win@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 18:09 · 5 h before start
odds 2.25Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Delaware Blue Hens
14:30
Liberty Flames
Liberty Flames to win@2.25
Open on Xexpected 42% from odds+1.25 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 18:09 · 5 h before start
odds 1.83Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Delaware Blue Hens
14:30
Liberty Flames
Liberty Flames −6.5@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.83 u
Singleposted 26 Sept, 14:31 · 1 h before start
odds 1.95Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tennessee Volunteers
17:20
Texas Longhorns
Tennessee Volunteers +4.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 26 Sept, 14:31 · 8 h before start
odds 2.05Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
West Virginia Mountaineers
24:41
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Oklahoma State Cowboys to win@2.05
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds+1.05 u
Singleposted 4 Sept, 23:15 · 2 h before start
odds 1.89Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Stanford Cardinal
6:45
Miami Hurricanes
Stanford Cardinal +24.5@1.89
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Aug, 18:40 · 7 h before start
odds 1.87Lost
MLB·
San Diego Padres
3:2
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Aug, 22:54 · 3 h before start
odds 1.89Lost
MLB·
San Diego Padres
3:6
Houston Astros
San Diego Padres to win@1.89
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u