Hit rate
60.0%
expected 45.9%
Edge
+14.1 pp
over expectation
Graded
5
3-2
ROI
-
on 3 picks with odds
Average odds
2.43
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W2, worst L1
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Football3-1 · 4 graded
+28.575%
Basketball0-1 · 1 graded
−43.30%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result1-1 · 2 graded
+14.850%
Totals2-0 · 2 graded
+34.1100%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−27.10%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite1-0 · 1 graded
+27.2100%
Even1-1 · 2 graded
−1.150%
Underdog1-0 · 1 graded
+72.8100%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
1.50…1.891-0 · 1 graded
-100%
1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded
-0%
3.50+1-0 · 1 graded
-100%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks- October 2026+14.1 pp3-2 · 60%
By league
- Europa League1-150%+22.9
- Champions League1-0100%+27.2
- Premier League · England1-0100%+41.0
- EuroLeague0-10%−43.3
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Picks
odds 2.20Lost
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
Beşiktaş
95:87
FC Bayern Munchen to win@2.20
Lost
Europa League · League Stage·
Hoffenheim
2:3
Draw@1.83✕
Europa League · League Stage·
Hoffenheim
2:3
Beşiktaş or draw@1.83✓
odds 3.50Won
Europa League · League Stage·
Hoffenheim
2:3
Beşiktaş to win@3.50
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Manchester City
2:4
Over 2.5
odds 1.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Premier League·
Liverpool
0:3
Over 2.5
