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@beenspittin31 followersfirst pick 6 Octusually posts 4 h before start

🏆 SPORTS BETTING CONSULTANT 72% IN APRIL | MAY LOADIN 🤫 SPLASH 💦 🧾

HockeyBaseballBasketballNFL & NCAAF
Tipster index52.2needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
55.6%
expected 50.7%
Edge
+4.8 pp
over expectation
Graded
9
5-4
ROI
+3.9%
on 7 picks with odds · max drawdown −2.00 u
Average odds
1.95
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W3, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.500.55 Oct9 Oct13 Oct17 Oct21 Oct

By sport

Hockey0-4 · 4 graded
−49.0
0%
Baseball3-0 · 3 graded
+46.3
100%
NFL & NCAAF1-0 · 1 graded
+48.2
100%
Basketball1-0 · 1 graded
+52.1
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result3-2 · 5 graded
+10.3
60%
Handicap2-0 · 2 graded
+50.1
100%
Totals0-1 · 1 graded
−69.3
0%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−39.3
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-1 · 1 graded
−69.3
0%
Even5-2 · 7 graded
+21.7
71%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.893-0 · 3 graded
-
100%
1.90…2.291-1 · 2 graded
-
50%
2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +4.8 pp
    5-4 · 56%
    ROI +3.9%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 21 Oct, 20:51 · 2 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
125:132
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks +5.5
Open on Xexpected 48% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 20:51 · 3 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Buffalo Sabres
1:3
Philadelphia Flyers
Over 5.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 18:44 · 6 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders +7.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.84 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 18:44 · 4 h before start
odds 2.30DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
5:2
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks to win
Open on Xexpected 42% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 18:44 · 5 h before start
odds 1.66DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
7:3
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line+0.66 u
Parlay · 3posted 10 Oct, 16:29 · 7 h before start
odds 2.20Lost
Canada · WHL·
Vancouver Giants
4:1
Seattle Thunderbirds
Seattle Thunderbirds to win✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
2:4
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
2:1
Dallas Stars
penalties
Pittsburgh Penguins to win✓
Open on Xexpected 39% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 17:03 · 3 h before start
odds 2.10DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
3:9
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line+1.10 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 17:03 · 5 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
1:4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line+0.67 u
Singleposted 6 Oct, 22:45 · 15 min before start
odds 2.10DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Montreal Canadiens
4:6
Carolina Hurricanes
Montreal Canadiens to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line−1.00 u