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bcric

@bcricin1 followersfirst pick 5 Augusually posts 6 h before start

Cricket predictions & analysis. India.

CricketFootball
Tipster index43.3#521 on the leaderboarddown 50 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
73.2%
expected 78.4%
Edge
−5.2 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 62.6%, the edge is within noise
Graded
56
41-15
ROI
-
on 3 picks with odds
Average odds
1.49
singles with odds
Form
streak W7 · best W22, worst L8

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-5-2.502.56 Aug25 Aug14 Sept3 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Cricket41-13 · 54 graded
−2.4
76%
Football0-2 · 2 graded
−78.9
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result41-15 · 56 graded
−5.2
73%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite40-15 · 55 graded
−6.0
73%
Even1-0 · 1 graded
+43.0
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.892-0 · 2 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +20.8 pp
    6-0 · 100%
  • September 2026
    +4.2 pp
    20-4 · 83%
  • October 2026
    −19.8 pp
    15-11 · 58%

By league

  • Twenty20 Internationals16-384%+5.9
  • One Day Internationals15-288%+9.1
  • ICC Men's One-Day World Cup5-456%−23.6
  • Test Series2-340%−39.2
  • United Arab Emirates3-175%+2.7
  • CONCACAF Nations League0-20%−78.9
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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 02:46 · 9 h before start
odds 1.29Won
United Arab Emirates · Tri-Series in UAE·
Afghanistan
0:0
Zimbabwe
Afghanistan win by 7 wickets
Afghanistan to win@1.29
Open on Xexpected 74% from odds+0.29 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 02:45 · 4 h before start
odds 1.50Won
Twenty20 Internationals · New Zealand v India·
New Zealand
0:0
India
India win by 4 wickets
India to win@1.50
Open on Xexpected 64% from odds+0.50 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 02:49 · 9 h before start
odds 1.67Won
United Arab Emirates · Tri-Series in UAE·
Afghanistan
0:0
Bangladesh
Afghanistan win by 7 wickets
Afghanistan to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.67 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 04:16 · 4 h before start
Won
One Day Internationals · Tri-Series in Pakistan·
Pakistan
0:0
England
Pakistan win by 87 runs
Pakistan to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 04:15 · 7 h before start
Won
United Arab Emirates · Tri-Series in UAE·
Afghanistan
0:0
Zimbabwe
Afghanistan win by 158 runs
Afghanistan to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 04:15 · 1 h before start
Won
ICC Men's One-Day World Cup · World Cup League 2·
Oman
0:0
Nepal
Nepal win by 10 runs
Nepal to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 04:15 · 4 h before start
Won
One Day Internationals · Tri-Series in Pakistan·
Pakistan
0:0
Sri Lanka
Pakistan win by 37 runs
Pakistan to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 04:15 · 3 h before start
Lost
Test Series · South Africa v Australia Test Series·
South Africa
0:0
Australia
South Africa win by an innings and 31 runs
Australia to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 04:15 · 9 h before start
Void
Twenty20 Internationals · India v West Indies·
India
void
West Indies
No Result
India to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 04:15 · 7 h before start
Lost
United Arab Emirates · Tri-Series in UAE·
Bangladesh
0:0
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe win by 99 runs
Bangladesh to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 04:15 · 1 h before start
Lost
ICC Men's One-Day World Cup · World Cup League 2·
Canada
0:0
Nepal
Canada win by 24 runs
Nepal to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 15 Oct, 04:15 · 1 h before start
Lost
ICC Men's One-Day World Cup · World Cup League 2·
Oman
0:0
Canada
Canada win by 58 runs
Oman to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 14 Oct, 04:15 · 9 h before start
Lost
Twenty20 Internationals · India v West Indies·
India
-:-
West Indies
West Indies win by 24 runs
India to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 04:16 · 11 h before start
Lost
ICC Men's One-Day World Cup · World Cup League 2·
USA
0:0
Namibia
Namibia win by 6 wickets
USA to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 04:16 · 9 h before start
Lost
Twenty20 Internationals · Pakistan v Sri Lanka·
Pakistan
0:0
Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka win by 8 wickets
Pakistan to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 04:16 · 1 h before start
Lost
ICC Men's One-Day World Cup · World Cup League 2·
Oman
0:0
Nepal
Nepal win by 113 runs
Oman to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 04:16 · 9 h before start
Won
Twenty20 Internationals · India v West Indies·
India
0:0
West Indies
India win by 14 runs
India to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 04:16 · 9 h before start
Won
Twenty20 Internationals · Pakistan v Sri Lanka·
Pakistan
0:0
Sri Lanka
Pakistan win by 82 runs
Pakistan to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 04:16 · 1 h before start
Won
ICC Men's One-Day World Cup · World Cup League 2·
Canada
0:0
Nepal
Nepal win by 24 runs
Nepal to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 04:15 · 9 h before start
Won
Twenty20 Internationals · Pakistan v Sri Lanka·
Pakistan
0:0
Sri Lanka
Pakistan win by 4 wickets
Pakistan to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 04:15 · 11 h before start
Won
ICC Men's One-Day World Cup · World Cup League 2·
Namibia
0:0
United Arab Emirates
Namibia win by 8 wickets
Namibia to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 04:15 · 3 h before start
Lost
Test Series · South Africa v Australia Test Series·
South Africa
0:0
Australia
Australia win by 214 runs
South Africa to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 04:15 · 1 h before start
Won
ICC Men's One-Day World Cup · World Cup League 2·
Oman
0:0
Canada
Oman win by 41 runs
Oman to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 04:15 · 9 h before start
Lost
Twenty20 Internationals · India v West Indies·
India
0:0
West Indies
West Indies win by 6 wickets
India to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 04:15 · 2 h before start
Lost
Test Series · Afghanistan v Bangladesh Only Test in UAE·
Afghanistan
0:0
Bangladesh
Match Drawn
Afghanistan to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 6 Oct, 04:15 · 9 h before start
Won
Twenty20 Internationals · India v West Indies·
India
0:0
West Indies
India win by 8 wickets
India to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 04:15 · 11 h before start
Void
ICC Men's One-Day World Cup · World Cup League 2·
United Arab Emirates
void
Namibia
No Result
Namibia to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 04:15 · 15 min before start
Won
Twenty20 Internationals · Men's Asian Games Twenty20·
Pakistan
0:0
India
India win by 19 runs
India to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 30 Sept, 04:15 · 7 h before start
Lost
One Day Internationals · South Africa v Australia·
South Africa
0:0
Australia
Australia win by 45 runs (DLS Method)
South Africa to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model
Singleposted 30 Sept, 04:15 · 4 h before start
Won
One Day Internationals · India v West Indies·
India
0:0
West Indies
India win by 8 wickets
India to win
Open on Xexpected 79% by model