Open picks 3
Games not played yetNCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
New Mexico Lobos
-:-
New Mexico Lobos over 20.5@1.44
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
New Mexico Lobos
-:-
Over 42.5@1.50
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
-:-
Houston Texans +3
Hit rate
71.4%
expected 55.8%
Edge
+15.6 pp
over expectation
Graded
7
5-2 · 3 pending
ROI
+42.8%
on 6 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.00 u
Average odds
1.69
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W3, worst L1
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Basketball3-1 · 4 graded
+23.575%
NFL & NCAAF2-1 · 3 graded
+5.167%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Handicap3-2 · 5 graded
+4.360%
Match result2-0 · 2 graded
+43.8100%
Team totals0-0 · 0 graded
--Totals0-0 · 0 graded
--Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite1-1 · 2 graded
−14.450%
Even4-1 · 5 graded
+27.680%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
< 1.501-0 · 1 graded
-100%
1.50…1.894-1 · 5 graded
+43.4%80%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks- October 2026+15.6 pp5-2 · 71%ROI +42.8%
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Picks
odds 1.69Won
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
114:106
Philadelphia 76ers to win@1.69
odds 1.40Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots +7.5@1.40
odds 1.57Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots +4.5@1.57
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Houston Rockets
128:110
Dallas Mavericks +10
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
-:-
Houston Texans +3
odds 1.44Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
New Mexico Lobos
-:-
New Mexico Lobos over 20.5@1.44
odds 1.50Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
New Mexico Lobos
-:-
Over 42.5@1.50
odds 1.70Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Sam Houston State Bearkats
24:30
New Mexico State Aggies to win@1.70
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Toronto Raptors
135:92
Toronto Raptors −10.5
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
127:105
LA Lakers −6.5
