Skip to content

WRALSportsFan

@WRALSportsFan13.3K followersfirst pick 22 Sept

Tobacco Road sports insight -- all day, every day. UNC, NC State, Duke, Hurricanes and much more.

FootballNFL & NCAAFCricket
Tipster index47.8needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
-:-
Miami Hurricanes
Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win
Hit rate
66.7%
expected 79.0%
Edge
−12.3 pp
over expectation
Graded
3
2-1 · 1 pending
ROI
-
on 1 picks with odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W2, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.4-0.200.223 Sept2 Oct12 Oct21 Oct

By sport

Football1-1 · 2 graded
−31.6
50%
Cricket1-0 · 1 graded
+26.1
100%
NFL & NCAAF0-0 · 0 graded
-
-

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-1 · 3 graded
−12.3
67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-1 · 3 graded
−12.3
67%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-0 · 1 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • September 2026
    +5.3 pp
    1-0 · 100%
  • October 2026
    −21.1 pp
    1-1 · 50%

By league

Similar tipsters

Same main sport, closest index

Badge for your site

Show your BetBuddyRank index on your site, Linktree or Telegram channel. The badge updates with the leaderboard and links to this page.

HTML
Markdown
BBCode

Picks

Singleposted 4 Nov, 22:06 · 3 days before start
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
-:-
Miami Hurricanes
Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 21:00 · 46 h before start
Lost
England · Southern League: Central Divison·
London Lions
2:2
Flackwell Heath
London Lions to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 30 Sept, 12:00 · 17 h before start
Won
Twenty20 Internationals · Men's Asian Games Twenty20·
India
0:0
Sri Lanka
India win by 124 runs
India to win
Open on Xexpected 74% by model
Singleposted 22 Sept, 12:00 · 2 days before start
odds 1.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
China
3:0
Maldives
China to win
Open on Xexpected 95% from the closing line+0.01 u